Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my program produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN).

First, the log5 list:

0.362 — Stephen Piscotty batting against Wily Peralta
0.356 — Aledmys Diaz batting against Wily Peralta
0.342 — Matthew Adams batting against Wily Peralta
0.326 — Greg Garcia batting against Wily Peralta
0.324 — Yadier Molina batting against Wily Peralta
0.318 — Eric Fryer batting against Wily Peralta
0.310 — Jose Altuve batting against Patrick Corbin
0.306 — Matt Holliday batting against Wily Peralta
0.305 — Jeff Francoeur batting against Jake Peavy
0.303 — Tommy Pham batting against Wily Peralta

Log5 wants to bat against Wily Peralta!

Here is the NN list:

0.310, 0.762 — Jose Altuve batting against Patrick Corbin.
0.362, 0.745 — Stephen Piscotty batting against Wily Peralta.
0.297, 0.742 — Francisco Lindor batting against Colby Lewis.
0.302, 0.737 — Xander Bogaerts batting against Kevin Gausman.
0.342, 0.734 — Matthew Adams batting against Wily Peralta.
0.299, 0.734 — Daniel Murphy batting against Aaron Nola.
0.249, 0.731 — Buster Posey batting against Matthew R Wisler.
0.302, 0.729 — Eduardo Nunez batting against Eric Surkamp.
0.261, 0.729 — Josh Harrison batting against Jose D Fernandez.
0.295, 0.724 — Danny Valencia batting against Tyler B Duffey.

The NN is not as hung up on Wily Peralta. Both system like Stephen Piscotty as a pick. Good luck!

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Tuesday Update

The Day by Day Database is up to date.

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Everyday is a Holliday

Matt Holliday celebrates the holiday with three hits and a home run as the Cardinals beat the Brewers 6-0. Matt Carpenter added four hits, including two doubles. He’s on a pace for another 40 doubles season.

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Lifting Duvall

The Reds offense took the Coors cure as they explode for 11 runs Monday afternoon. Adam Duvall hit two of the Reds five home runs to bring his total to 13 for the season. With his 2 for 5, he’s hitting .271/.305/.606 for the season.

Duvall is a nice example to taking a flyer on a player who can do one thing. In Duvall’s case, it’s hit for power. He had high slugging percentages and low OBPs through his minor league career. In his first two seasons in the majors, he didn’t play much, but 12 of his 28 hit went for extra bases. He continued that playing full time this season, now with 26 of his 42 hits home runs or doubles.

The Reds tore their team apart over the winter. Duvall is not part of the future. At seasonal age 27, he’s already at his peak. He’ll be by that by the time the next generation of Reds is ready to play. If the Reds had better pitching, he would be a useful cog in a the offense.

The Reds survive a Rockies rally in the ninth to win 11-8.

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River Park Place – Phase 2 coming to Richmond

Following the success of Intracorp’s One River Park Place, we are pleased to bring you and your clients the newest addition to Richmond’s riverfront Oval Village. RPP II will be Richmond’s brightest new neighbourhood and will feature the most sought-after amenities within minutes, while paving the way with progressive and illuminating technological details.

RPP II will feature 127 vibrant one, two and three bedroom homes. Views of the mountains, the river or the city centre will celebrate both the natural setting to the north, and a bustling epicentre of amenities to the south. Without even leaving your front door, Intracorp’s quality and industry-leading excellence is proven with state-of-the-art recording and practice rooms, a business centre, games and study rooms – all within steps – and all part of the luxury amenities at RPP II. Also enjoy a peaceful yoga room, an innovative gym space, and the ultimate car wash.

The post River Park Place – Phase 2 coming to Richmond appeared first on Vancouver New Condos.

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Good Day for Foltynewicz

Mike Foltynewicz pitched six strong innings on Monday as the Braves beat the Giants 5-3. Foltynewicz allowed three hits and two walks, leading to just one run. He evens his record at 2-2 and lowers his ERA to 3.51.

Foltynewicz figured strongly among the top picks for a hit, calculated by the neural network (NN). It provides a good example of why you need to take the recommendations with a grain of salt. Only Joe Panik picked up a hit in the game among those suggested by the NN. Buster Posey did not play. The Giants were in Colorado on Sunday, and had to travel across country to play an early afternoon game. That’s a tough schedule for even a good offense like the Giants.

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The Dark Knight Returns

Matt Harvey pitched four perfect innings so far, striking out six as the White Sox and Mets are scoreless going to the bottom of the fourth. Maybe Harvey actually found the flaw in his delivery. We’ll see if he fatigues as the game continues, but right now he looks like he’s back in form.

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