Thursday, April 28, 2016

Games of the Day

With the rain out last night, all eyes will be on the Brewers and Cubs as Taylor Jungmann faces Jake Arrieta. Jungmann is not fooling anyone this year as opponents are hitting .318/.405/.636 against him. Fourteen of the 21 hits against him have gone for extra bases. Arrieta goes for his second no-hitter in a row and third in 12 starts. He’s a great candidate to equal Johnny Vander Meer‘s feat, as he allowed just 91 hits in his last 178 innings covering 24 starts. That works out to a .150/.199/.214 slash line. In that time he allowed 9 hits in 87 at bats with men in scoring position.

Out west, Jose Fernandez takes on Kenta Maeda as the Marlins go for a four-game sweep of the Dodgers. Fernandez ran into trouble with wildness this season, walking 11 in 22 2/3 innings after walking just 14 in 64 2/3 innings last year after his return from Tommy John surgery. His strikeouts remain high at 32, so we’ll see how he adjusts his control. Maeda is looking like of the great Asian signings, starting off his career with a 0.36 ERA in 25 1/3 innings. The right-hander fools left-handed batters well, holding them to a .190/.261/.310 slash line so far.

Enjoy!



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Double David

David Ortiz hit three doubles Wednesday night as the Red Sox beat the Braves 9-4. The three two-baggers brings David’s career total to 595, one behind Todd Helton for 15th on the all-time doubles list. The top 14 on this list hit at least 600 doubles, and the only of them not in the Hall of Fame are Pete Rose and Barry Bonds.

Playing at Fenway and off to a good start, Ortiz is likely to catch Hank Aaron at 624 doubles and move into the top ten all-time. That’s quite an accomplishment, especially for a big man who isn’t that fast. I remember Jason Giambi at the end of his career would sting the ball for what looked like a double, but wind up on first because he just didn’t have the speed to make it to second.

Note that Ortiz was greatly helped in his doubles quest by Fenway park. In his time with the Red Sox he hit 297 doubles in 3372 AB at home, 190 in 3321 AB on the road (12 of his 15 triples with the Red Sox also came at home).

I don’t know if Ortiz will be elected to the Hall of Fame, but cracking the 600 doubles mark will help make his case stronger.

The Braves did end their home run drought as Freddie Freeman went deep. The team now has four home runs.



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Thursday Update

The Day by Day Database is up to date.



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Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Morton Salted

Charlie Morton will miss the rest of the 2016 due to a hamstring that requires surgery:

The Phillies announced Wednesday morning that Morton will have surgery on his torn left hamstring Monday in Philadelphia. He will need six to eight months to recover, which means he will miss the remainder of the 2016 season.

Triple-A Lehigh Valley left-hander Adam Morgan is expected to take Morton’s spot in the Phils’ rotation Friday against the Indians at Citizens Bank Park.

Morton was off to a decent start with 19 K in 17 1/3 innings. Note that he injured the running to first on a sacrifice bunt. Injuries like that will keep pushing NL teams to use the designated hitter.

Adam Morgan brings great control to the Phillies. He posted low walk rates in the minors and in his first season with Philadelphia.



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Lincoln Splits

The CEO of the Mariners is stepping down:

Mariners CEO Howard Lincoln is to announce Wednesday that he is stepping down from his position with the ballclub, according to sources.

Lincoln, 76, has been at the helm of the Mariners since replacing former chairman John Ellis in 2000. Sources have indicated that team minority owner John Stanton will assume Lincoln’s role.

Since I saw that story this afternoon, more came out:

Update: The Mariners announced plans for Nintendo of America to sell its majority stake of the ballclub to a group led by minority owner John Stanton, who is slated to take over as CEO for the outgoing Howard Lincoln. The sale would value the Mariners franchise at $1.4 billion.

Lincoln was a big part of realizing that value:

Under his leadership, the Mariners have grown from a team purchased for $100 million in 1992 to a franchise valued at well over $1 billion.

It says a lot about the value of MLB franchises in general that a team that never won the World Series and disappointed for a long time is still worth over $1 billion dollars. Mr. Lincoln earned a quiet retirement.



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Inbound Works—Until It Doesn’t

I’m a great fan of inbound marketing/demand gen approaches.  What sales person wouldn’t be?

It’s great to be able to talk to someone who actually is interested in your products and services!  Before the first conversation, you have a context of their interests.  You know marketing programs they’ve responded to, you know the content, which provides an indication of their interest.  If you do your homework, quickly researching them and their company, you can engage them in meaningful conversations about their problems and challenges.  Some will have a need to buy, we qualify them move them into the pipeline and start working the deal.

Hopefully, the math works—you have enough inbound activity, you qualify your fair share, you compete and win your fair share, and you make your number!  What could be better?

None of this stuff about prospecting!  No time wasted trying to find or create new opportunities!  What could be easier than the customer coming to you?

There are some great business models, focused on volume/velocity, that work brilliantly.  They know the dials to turn–increase SEO, Adwords, drive marketing programs……

But not all businesses are tuned to the volume/velocity model, particularly those in which the customer buying process is highly complex.

Yes, inbound does contribute a huge amount to those types of companies, but what happens if it isn’t enough?  Virtually every complex B2B sales organization I work with is opportunity starved–that is they don’t have enough qualified pipeline opportunities to meet their goals.  I’ve never encountered a sales executive saying, “Dave, we simply have too many qualified opportunities.”  Usually, it’s the opposite, “Dave, how do I get my sales people prospecting to get more opportunities in the pipeline?”

Yes marketing is doing everything it can to generate more.  But most research studies still say sales people for Complex B2B Buying Processes,  find and qualify a significant number of opportunities on their own (with help from programs from marketing).  Depending on the study, it’s anywhere from 40-60% of the deals that ultimately find their way into the pipeline.

There’s another problem with strictly inbound.  We have to wait for the customer!

Is that right for them?  What about those that don’t know there may be better ways of doing things–they aren’t looking/searching, they aren’t consuming content, because they are happy with the status quo.  Yet their businesses may be underperforming.  Or those that are simply too busy to do something.  If I’m fighting the alligators every day, I may forget or not have the time to Google “What’s the best pump to drain a swamp?”

What about those who frame their problem in a certain way?  But if they changed it, they might consider entirely different solutions–including ours?  They may have been researching for a while, but they may not be asking the right questions, they might gain more if they shifted their perspective.  They may have defined their problem/solution in a way that doesn’t allow them to capture as much value as possible?  Of course, we do everything we can to shift their views, but if they are toward the end of their process, they may not be willing to listen.

From our own selfish internal point of view, what if we aren’t getting enough inbound activity to achieve our goals?  We are still accountable for making the numbers!  If we aren’t getting enough inbound activity, sure we can beat marketing up for more, but we have to make up the deficit!  It is unacceptable to walk into your manager saying, “Boss, I missed my numbers this quarter and next quarter is a little sketchy—we don’t have enough inbound activity…..”

Inbound activity is fantastic, as long as it works, as long as it is producing the volume and quality of opportunities we need to maximize our value and make our numbers.

But when it stops working, we have to hunt down our own opportunities to fill the gap!



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