Wednesday, September 27, 2017

Massive Tie Scenario

It was an exciting night in the race for the second NL Wild Card. Both Milwaukee and St. Louis got out to big leads, but wound up in close games. The Cubs whittled away the Cardinals lead, and four Cubs runs in the eight made the final score 8-7 in favor of St. Louis. The Brewers jumped out to an early 6-2 lead against the Reds, and held on to win 7-6. Meanwhile, the Rockies cruised to a 6-0 win against the Marlins.

The chance of a three way tie went down slightly. The most likely outcome has the Rockies winning one more game for a total of 86. The overall probability of this three-way tie occurring is 0.020. Here is the 86 win scenario:

Team Won-lost
Rockies 1-3
Brewers 3-2
Cardinals 4-1

Needless to say, this is not looking good.

Milwaukee finishes the season with three games against St. Louis, so they would need to be separated by a odd number of games going into that series for a tie to be possible. The above calculation does not account for that. For this tie to even be possible at this point, the Brewers and Cardinals really need to win the next two days, and it would be very helpful of the Rockies lost today. The Rockies are off on Thursday, giving the two trailers a chance to “make up the win.” If that happens, the Brewers and Rockies would be tied going into the weekend, with the Cardinals one game back. The Cardinals could take two of three from the Brewers while the Rockies lose two of three to the Dodgers. If that happens the probability of the tie going into the weekend would be around 14%.

For Wednesday, the best outcomes would be:

  • The Rockies fall to the Marlins.
  • The Brewers beat the Reds.
  • The Cardinals defeat the Cubs.


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Wednesday Update

The Day by Day Database is up to date.



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Things You Need To Know Before a Bathroom Remodel

Content originally published and Shared from http://perfectbath.com

Renovations are always exciting. Yes, you might have to spend a lot. But if the work is excellently done, then you’ll definitely get your money’s worth. Remember to take note of the following things before you proceed on your project.

Image Source: Flickr

Consider these master bath must-haves
Sharing with your sweetie is simpler when you’ve made space for these features.

  1. Toilet room:Gives this area privacy; best if it’s got a door.
  2. Separate shower stall:Lets bathers and shower-takers clean up simultaneously.
  3. Dual workstations:Place double sinks 36 inches apart or more, measured drain to drain, so that you’ll have elbow room. Give each sink enough outlets and lighting, as well as mirror, countertop, and storage space.
  4. Wide pathways:Traffic lanes 36 to 42 inches wide allow two people to pass each other without having to squeeze by. Source: ThisOldHouse

Don’t make the toilet the first thing you see when open the door
Ask a bathroom designer what his or her best tried and true tip is, and this is what you’re likely to hear. The reasoning is simple. Oftentimes bathroom doors get left open, meaning that you or any guest in your home walking by will see the toilet — which, come on, isn’t the most aesthetically pleasing thing to look at. If you’re hoping for a spa-like vibe, putting the john front and center in the design can sort of kill the mood as you’re transitioning into the room. So, what should you make the focal point? Anything but the toilet. Source: Houzz

The golden rules of bathroom renovations

  • Draw up a clear plan of the room to remodel, and make it to scale. This will be a great reference not only for you, but also for your subcontractors.
  • Estimate the approximate total cost of your renovation beforeyou begin your work. This includes quotes from workers, for materials, new fixtures (bath, shower, toilet, and faucets), furniture, decor and lighting.
  • Ask for at least two or three quotes from different workers.
  • Shop around for your bathroom fixtures. You’d be surprised how much you can save.
  • Prepare yourself for surprises and extra expenses along the way, especially if you decide to open up the space and remove walls.
  • Do not touch a load bearing wall without first consulting with an expert. Source: Yellowpages

Find top of the line fixtures that will surely fit in your new bathroom. Call us today!

 

Contact:
Perfect Bath
Phone: Toll Free 1-866-843-1641
Calgary, Alberta
Email: info@perfectbath.com

The post Things You Need To Know Before a Bathroom Remodel appeared first on Perfect Bath Canada.



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Show Your Customers That You Care

Everything we read about customers and their attitudes about sales people is pretty negative.  Customers do everything they can to avoid sales people until the very last moment.  To most customer, 600 sales people trapped in a downed plane on the ocean floor is simply a good start.

When one looks at the orientation and focus of most sales and marketing programs, it’s no wonder customers feel that way.  From the very initiation of a relationship, it’s all about the sales person, their company, their products.

Think about it, from our very first interactions we aren’t demonstrating that we care, that we are putting the customer first:

  1. We spam them with irrelevant unpersonalized emails, usually in the name of nurturing, but because we haven’t taken the time to know them, we send them everything, leaving the burden to them to sort things out.
  2. In our prospecting calls, we are unprepared, we don’t know who they are or anything about their company.  We expect the customer to take their time to tell us what we should have learned in basic research.
  3. Our discovery is limited to learning what we need to know to present or demo our solutions, not learning what they are trying to achieve and why it’s important to them.
  4. We are unprepared in our meetings, choosing to shoot from the lip rather than designing a meeting that creates value for the customer.
  5. Alternatively, our preparation focuses on what we want to achieve to move the deal forward in the process, not what the customer needs to achieve to move their buying group forward.
  6. We don’t take the time to understand our customers and their businesses.  We don’t know their strategies, the industry drivers, their challenges in achieving their own goals.
  7. We don’t understand our customers as people–the drivers for success in their role and their personal drivers for success.
  8. We don’t articulate the specific value and results they should anticipate from our solution, and how it helps them achieve their goals.
  9. We don’t connect the dots between the results our solution provides and the strategic priorities of their company, so we can’t help them present the value of change to their management.
  10. We don’t recognize how buyers struggle to buy (actually to solve problems, with buying being one activity along the way.).  We don’t help them learn how to buy.
  11. We rush to close, choosing to discount just to get the order, because we didn’t do 6, 8, 9.  So we move from value (if we were ever there in the first place), to cost.
  12. We are insensitive to the change and change management issues the customer faces in their buying/problem solving process, focused only on closing.
  13. When we win, we fail to assure the customer is getting the value they expected in their implementation of the solution.
  14. Our account management strategies focus on maintenance and retention, rather than continually co-innovating and improving with our customer.
  15. We are unable to put ourselves in the customers shoes and see things through their eyes.  We fail to demonstrate true empathy for them.
  16. We fail to meet our commitments to the customer–even on simple things like showing up on time and being prepared.

I’m sure I can go on, but you get the point.  We care about what we care about, but don’t demonstrate, in every interaction, how we care about the customer.

Success in sales is really about caring about your customer.  This isn’t some soft, warm, fuzzy, “do-good” mentality.  This is about helping our customers achieve their goals and dreams.  It’s about ruthless focus on their success, knowing that we can’t be successful without them first being successful.

Caring isn’t that difficult or time consuming.  It starts with creating meaningful value in every interaction.  The rest is easy.

Do you care about your customer?

As a side note to managers, remember your people are your customers.  Do you care about them?

 



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Tuesday, September 26, 2017

Ace Card

The Yankees win, and since they won the season series from the Twins, they clinch home field advantage if they wind up a wild card in the AL. New York beats Tampa Bay 6-1 with Jordan Montgomery allowing one run in six innings, while Starlin Castro went 3 for 3 with a solo home run. The Red Sox lose 9-4, so the Yankees are three games back in the AL East, Boston’s magic number standing at three. If the Yankees should over take Boston, the Red Sox would host the wild card game.



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All Betts are Off

Mookie Betts suffered injuries to both hands:

“I just know occasionally on some swings it just, I don’t know whether I turn it, I don’t know what happens,” Betts said Monday. “Just like a sharp pain. I can’t really move my hand for a little bit.”

The wrist injury comes less than two weeks after Betts aggravated a bone bruise in his right thumb that he revealed he has been playing through for a while. Betts also missed a game last Saturday in Cincinnati because of a bruised left foot.

There is no structural damage to the wrist, but inflammation takes rest to heal. We’ll see how he feels when the playoffs start.



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Schoolhouse Rock

I really enjoyed this animated short narrated by Dee Gordon on how he steals bases.

Gordon makes it clear he steals off the pitcher. He studies video of the pitcher’s delivery until he picks up the tell that indicates the pitcher is going home. Once he has that, he knows when to go. I also loved the story of how Gordon used the long hair of a pitcher to gain an advantage.

Hat tip, The Miami Herald.



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