Wednesday, June 27, 2018

Bathroom Ideas for the Modern Family

Content originally published and Shared from http://perfectbath.com

 

The bathroom may be the smallest room in your house, but it does not mean you can’t have a stylish and classy space. You can have it designed with new showers and bathtubs as well as tiles. Contact professionals and get ideas on various choices. Give your bathroom a modern look following below ideas:

How to Design Bathroom

Tub

There is so much fun in designing the bathroom. If you are looking for a bathtub and shower, visit showersly.com/best-freestanding-tubs-reviews and choose what suits your budget. A bathtub is a good idea to give your bathroom a modern look. It adds luxury to the household and it can be a place to keep warm during the cold seasons.

Mirror

You will need mirrors to make sure you clean your whole body properly before stepping out of your bathroom. Consider framing the mirror and sticking it on the bathroom walls. Mastic adhesive can be used to install a tile frame around it. You can also go for creative wooden frames or molding or have one customized for you. Add sconces to both sides of the mirror to brighten the space and remove shadows when looking into the mirror.

Tiles

There are different tile designs that will give your bathroom a beautiful look. Go for wall tiles that are long lasting, easy to clean and mold resistance. Give your bathroom floor a rough, colorful texture to avoid falls on slippery tiles. Do not overlook the aspect of safety, especially in homes with small children and older individuals. Safety and function should go together.

Storage

You will need space for your bathroom. Your modern family bathroom will want to have ample storage. Install shelving units and fixtures that are well suited to bathroom. No matter the size of the bathroom, you can make it stylish by choosing accessories and features that compliment your colors. Having storage is an important component of keeping your modern family bathroom neat and well organized. You can make a trendy modern family bathroom design in any room no matter what the size or shape.

Paints

What’s the best paint to use? Semi-gloss paint is a great choice because you can easily wipe down markings and stains e.g. from dirty/oily hands. This is important, especially if you have children, or someone working a ‘dirty’ job. If you use flat paint, the frequent wiping will cause the paint to chip, requiring a repaint soon after. In addition, semi-gloss paint has reflective qualities, and can help to boost your lighting, making the room warmer. Choose paints with that give your bathroom a smooth touch.

 

You can keep your bathroom looking good and modern by giving it a touch of class when remodeling it. It will save you some money if you plan on what to purchase for your bathroom as well. Make a budget and stick to it. Work on the cost of materials and labor and give your bathroom that wow look. It is very possible to give your bathroom a modern and trendy appearance without breaking the bank. Plan well and enjoy your baths.

 

Contributed by: Perfectbath.com  Foremost experts in Bathroom design and Bathroom fixtures.

The post Bathroom Ideas for the Modern Family appeared first on Perfect Bath Canada.



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The Power Of The Discovery Process

There are two fundamentals to maximizing your ability to win a deal–unfortunately, both tend to be executed very poorly.  The first is Qualification, or as I like to call it, Disqualification.  This focuses us on pursuing the right deals with customers that are committed to changing.

The second is the Discovery Process.

Too often, sales people skip right over this, going straight to pitching their products/solutions.  We see day in sales people’s clumsy outreach to us.  Whether in an email or a bad prospecting call, most skip over qualifying and understanding what our needs/interests might be–immediately pitching their products.

The other mistake, more “sophisticated” sales people do is “selective discovery.”  They ask questions about problems, goals, needs, but selectively–only looking for something that enables them to immediately jump to presenting their product.  It goes something like:

Salesperson:  “What are your needs?  (Actually a terrible question, demonstrating no knowledge of the customer, the potential areas they might be interested in, but not surprisingly the first need identification question sales people ask?)”

Customer:  “We want a robust system that all our people can use and will support our growth for the forseeable future.”

Salesperson:  “Let me tell you about our product…….”

In their needs identification the sales person is listening to that cue that enables him to launch into talking what he wants to talk about, rather than trying to understand the customer.

Each area we identify with the customer enables us to dive deeply into a more complete understanding.  Taking the example, from above, the customer wanting a robust system, an astute sales person might ask:

What do you mean by a “robust system?”

How is your current system failing you?

What is the impact of that on your business?

How will you know you have chosen a robust system?

What do your expect to achieve with that robust system?

How would you measure your ability to achieve those goals?

One could go on an on in probing the customer to understand what they are trying to achieve, why it is a problem, why it is important to them, and what the impact might be.

Discovery helps you understand people’s attitudes, opinions, hopes, dreams, fears, goals, what’s important to them, and why.

Discovery helps you understand what they know, how well they may understand the area they are looking at, how well they may understand alternative solutions.

Discovery helps you understand how they will buy, who will be involved, the criteria they will use in selecting a solution, their priorities, the process they will use to buy.

Discovery helps you understand what they don’t know but need to learn and understand to achieve what they are trying to do.

Discovery helps you understand where they are at currently, what/why they need to change, how committed they are to change, what they want to achieve and when.

Discovery helps you understand what they need to do on their side to get approval for the change, how they will get support, how they will actually implement the solution and drive the change.

Properly done, in the discovery process, the customer will tell you everything you need to do to earn their business.  All you have to do is respond!

But there’s another important aspect to Discovery.

The customer is going through their own Discovery process.

This is our opportunity to teach them, to help them learn.

Maybe they don’t understand the problems at a deep enough level.  Or they don’t understand what they can achieve.

Perhaps they don’t know what they should be looking for and why.  Or they have overlooked some critical things, or they are missing some opportunities.

Perhaps they don’t know how to organize themselves and make a decision, or critical activities they should consider in buying.  How should the evaluate the alternatives?  Should they do a POC?  What could they learn from people that are already implementing solutions?  How can they more effectively justify the investment to their management, getting approval?  What’s it take to implement the solution, where are the risks, how do they avoid/mitigate them?

Often customers through the normal pressure of day to day business or through lack of experience in buying rush through their own discovery process missing critical things.

The customers’ discovery processes are our opportunity to teach them how to buy and how to achieve their goals most effectively.

Imagine taking the time to do this well yourself and helping the customer take the time so they can do this well.

This process, in itself, enables you to create tremendous value with the customer.  It enables you to differentiate your self from your competition–remember all of them are rushing to the pitch.

Once you have a properly qualified opportunity–the Discovery Process is where you win or lose the deal.

 



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The Future of Starters

Jayson Stark speaks with a number of general managers about the game moving toward the Rays version of a rotation, using good starters and some openers. Stark’s big worry is that one will lose the marquee match-ups:

Let’s say this again. For 100 years, the first question everyone asked on the way to a ballpark was always: “Who’s pitching tonight?”

But suppose the answer in 2038 is: “Everybody,” or “Who the heck knows?” Would some of those people then just change their minds and stay home and binge a little Netflix?

I like the Rays answer to this question:

Heck, they don’t even accept our master premise, that a team without true “starters” is less interesting or entertaining.

“You have fans coming to the game saying, ‘Really? Sergio Romo is starting a game? What is this?’” Silverman says. “I think it’s kind of interesting. I think it actually adds some intrigue. And every opponent that we’re playing – their TV and radio guys are spending [a lot of time] talking about it. It’s something new that’s part of the conversation of baseball.”

Rotations have come and gone and come again. Look at the 1956 Yankees, for example. This was a World Series Championship team, and they only used two pitchers nearly exclusively as starters, Whitey Ford and Johnny Kucks. All the other starters listed as the top five made a significant number of relief appearances, and a number of listed relievers made a significant number of starts. The difference then was that when a reliever started, he was expected to be in the game as long as possible. If we saw that many relievers making a significant number of starts today, it would probably be due to injuries.

The reason that kind of rotation management stopped was that pitchers didn’t like it. They want to know when they are pitching, and what part of the game they are pitching. That’s why closers don’t want to enter in the middle of the eighth inning, it throws off their preparation.

The Rays don’t appear to be doing this randomly, they got their pitchers to get on board, and I suspect everyone knows exactly how to prepare. If Casey Stengel had this idea, those Yankees teams might have even been better.



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Games of the Day

The Yankees go for a sweep of the Phillies as Luis Cessa battles Zach Elfin. Cessa makes his first start of the 2018 season after allowing just three hits and three walks in six innings. Elfin allowed a home run every four innings last season. That’s down in one every 12 innings this year.

The Angels send Andrew Heaney against the Red Sox and Rick Porcello. It’s a nice example of how much the team means to a pitcher’s won-lost record. Heaney owns a 3.43 ERA and stands 4-5 on the season. Porcello owns a 3.44 ERA and stands 9-3 on the season. Both average about six innings a start, so staying in games longer doesn’t add to the difference here.

Cleveland at St. Louis features Shane Bieber against Jack Flaherty in a battle of rookies. Bieber walked three and struck out 22 in his first 18 1/3 innings. When batters do put the bat on the ball, however, they collected 22 hits. Flaherty high strikeout rate has helped keep hits down, as the opposition is batting just .201 against him.

Enjoy!



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Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

For 2018, I am just going to publish the Log5 hit averages and the NN probabilities with parks factored in. I am keeping track of the results here. I added a graph that gives a visual representation of the probability and success each day.

I have been asked to expand the list to the top 25 players for an econometric project.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.378 — Jean Segura batting against Alex Cobb.
0.344 — Dee Gordon batting against Alex Cobb.
0.322 — Jose Altuve batting against Marco Estrada.
0.321 — Jon Jay batting against Wei-Yin Chen.
0.318 — Benjamin Gamel batting against Alex Cobb.
0.314 — Ryon Healy batting against Alex Cobb.
0.313 — David Peralta batting against Wei-Yin Chen.
0.309 — Nelson Cruz batting against Alex Cobb.
0.304 — Asdrubal Cabrera batting against Ivan Nova.
0.302 — Mitch Haniger batting against Alex Cobb.
0.301 — Albert Almora batting against Alex Wood.
0.300 — Corey Dickerson batting against Zack Wheeler.
0.298 — Yulieski Gurriel batting against Marco Estrada.
0.295 — Adrian Beltre batting against Clayton Richard.
0.293 — Denard Span batting against Alex Cobb.
0.288 — Jose Martinez batting against Shane Bieber.
0.288 — Adam Jones batting against Wade LeBlanc.
0.288 — Jed Lowrie batting against Michael Fiers.
0.287 — Marcell Ozuna batting against Shane Bieber.
0.286 — Nick Markakis batting against Luis Castillo.
0.283 — Freddie Freeman batting against Luis Castillo.
0.283 — Paul Goldschmidt batting against Wei-Yin Chen.
0.282 — Eddie Rosario batting against James Shields.
0.280 — Wilmer Flores batting against Ivan Nova.
0.280 — Brandon Crawford batting against Kyle Freeland.

It seems that on a number of days, Segura and Gordon are a good double down combination. They bat at the top of the order so they get the most plate appearances, and both put the bat on the ball.

Here is how the NN with Park ranks the players:

0.378, 0.779 — Jean Segura batting against Alex Cobb.
0.322, 0.758 — Jose Altuve batting against Marco Estrada.
0.344, 0.744 — Dee Gordon batting against Alex Cobb.
0.301, 0.728 — Albert Almora batting against Alex Wood.
0.321, 0.722 — Jon Jay batting against Wei-Yin Chen.
0.298, 0.722 — Yulieski Gurriel batting against Marco Estrada.
0.295, 0.720 — Adrian Beltre batting against Clayton Richard.
0.282, 0.716 — Eddie Rosario batting against James Shields.
0.278, 0.715 — J.D. Martinez batting against Andrew Heaney.
0.270, 0.715 — Scooter Gennett batting against Sean Newcomb.
0.313, 0.713 — David Peralta batting against Wei-Yin Chen.
0.300, 0.711 — Corey Dickerson batting against Zack Wheeler.
0.278, 0.710 — Gerardo Parra batting against Madison Bumgarner.
0.318, 0.708 — Benjamin Gamel batting against Alex Cobb.
0.288, 0.707 — Jose Martinez batting against Shane Bieber.
0.288, 0.706 — Adam Jones batting against Wade LeBlanc.
0.314, 0.706 — Ryon Healy batting against Alex Cobb.
0.279, 0.705 — Nick Castellanos batting against Chris Bassitt.
0.287, 0.705 — Marcell Ozuna batting against Shane Bieber.
0.304, 0.704 — Asdrubal Cabrera batting against Ivan Nova.
0.261, 0.702 — Michael Brantley batting against Jack Flaherty.
0.283, 0.701 — Freddie Freeman batting against Luis Castillo.
0.286, 0.698 — Nick Markakis batting against Luis Castillo.
0.269, 0.697 — Mookie Betts batting against Andrew Heaney.
0.269, 0.697 — Nolan Arenado batting against Madison Bumgarner.
0.270, 0.697 — Andrelton Simmons batting against Rick Porcello.

I’m surprised to see anyone against Madison Bumgarner on the list. Parra is 2 for 19 career against Bumgarner with seven strikeouts.

Once again Segura is the unanimous first choice. Gordon and Altuve are tied for consensus second choice.

Remember, your best pick will fail about 25% of the time. Good luck!



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Keeping it Short

Craig Calcaterra mentions short shutouts in his game recap today.

A few years back someone — it was either David Pinto of Baseball Musings or David Schoenfield of ESPN, I can’t remember which — observed that bullpen use was such that traditional nine-inning shutouts were rare birds and that maybe we should have a stat which recognizes an achievement in the context of the new starting pitching philosophy. He called them “short shutouts.” I was kind of dismissive of the idea and of course, it didn’t take. With a few years to think about it, I’m wondering if I was too dismissive too quickly. I’m not saying we should have a stat for, say, a seven inning shutout, but I do think we should probably recognize and accept that that’s about the best we can expect most days and give it some sort of due. Or not, I dunno, but I have to admit that I am more impressed with seven shutout innings than I used to be. Viva low expectations.

In related news, the Yankees got seven shutout innings for Luis Severino and homers from Aaron Hicks and Didi Gregorius.

I received a lot of negative feedback from an extremely close friend on that stat, to the point that we came to rhetorical blows. I didn’t like that, so I backed off the stat.

Maybe the best way to think of short shutout as a super quality start. A pitcher gets a short shutout if he pitches at least six inning without allowing a run. Short shutouts include complete game shutouts. Severino is one of ten pitchers this season with at least four short shutouts:

Pitchers with at least four short shutouts, through June 26, 2018.
Pitcher CG Shutouts Short Shutouts
Sean Newcomb 0 6
Justin Verlander 1 5
Dylan Bundy 0 4
Julio Teheran 0 4
Jose Berrios 1 4
Corey Kluber 0 4
Jon Lester 0 4
Jake Arrieta 0 4
Luis Severino 1 4
Jose Quintana 0 4

Looks like the Braves decided not to let their starters get in trouble. Thirty years ago, most of these pitchers would have stayed in the game until they allowed a run.



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Best Batter Today

Jose Altuve reaches base four time in the Astros 7-0 win over the Blue Jays, and pops to the top of the Baseball Musings Batter Rankings. Altuve leads Mike Trout by 0.1 points as Trout goes 1 for 4 with a single against Boston. There was a huge shakeup in the top five, as Matt Carpenter moves into third place after a five for five night with two home runs and a double as the Cardinals demolish the Indians 11-2. Jose Ramirez stays in the top five, but drops to fourth after an 0 for 4 night, and Alex Bregman moves into fifth place as he goes four for five with three doubles and a home run. Only 13 points separate first from tenth.

Altuve and Ramirez are two of the smaller players in the majors. One thing I love about baseball, compared to other spots, is that size matters less. Altuve, on a per weight basis, may turn out to be the greatest hitter ever.



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