The Braves did not make Nick Markakis a qualifying offer of $17.9 million dollars, meaning they won’t get compensation when Markakis signs with another club. That’s despite him producing 2.6 fWAR in 2018.
Markakis is a great example of properly valuing a player. The Braves signed him for $44 million before the 2015 season. According to FanGraphs, he produced about $46 million in value. While a lot of that came in his final season with the Braves, the timing was right for Atlanta as their rebuilding process reached maturity this past season, and that burst of offense by Markakis helped push the team to the top of the NL East.
If you take his last three seasons in aggregate, however, Markakis produced 4.3 fWAR, or 1.4 per season, given his age, the Braves should expect about 1.2 WAR in 2019. The qualifying offer represents a bit over two WAR, so saying no is the right thing to do. It’s quite possible that Markakis doesn’t come close to two WAR again. Musings Marcels predicts a slash line of .274/.348/.408 in 2019 for him. He’s no longer a middle of the order hitter. I think he would be useful in the AL as a DH/OF who batted ninth on a good team. He would serve as a secondary lead-off man, and the lowered playing time would keep him from wearing out as the season progressed.
from baseballmusings.com https://ift.tt/2qsaQCs
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