Thursday, November 30, 2017

First of Many?

Gregg Zaun is the latest broadcaster to get the boot.

“This week, we received complaints from multiple female employees at Sportsnet regarding inappropriate behaviour and comments by Gregg Zaun in the workplace,” Brace said in the statement. “After investigating the matter, we decided to terminate his contract, effective immediately. This type of behaviour completely contradicts our standards and our core values.

I suspect former players in broadcasting will prove a target-rich environment.



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Things You Didn’t Know About Toilets

Content originally published and Shared from http://perfectbath.com

Vital Things You Didn’t Know About Toilets

No home is complete without a proper working toilet. The thought of relieving yourself out in nowhere can be literally scary. However, with a toilet in place; it is simple and very convenient. However, simple as they may look, there is much to know about toilets. You need to know how they work in order to get trouble free use and long life from them. Here are some vital facts about toilets you need to know.

The shape of a toilet plays an integral part in how your toilet looks. Indeed it determines the style of the bowl, seat, and also lid. Additionally the shape of your toilet will also determine the amount of installation space that your toilet requires. Here is what you need to know about toilet shapes.

Elongated Toilets

Elongated toilet bowl shape is not the most common yet. However it has many ad

elongated toiletvantages such as these.

 

  • Offers more comfort for adults.
  • Provided added room for seating.
  • Easy to install and operate always
  • Are unique and stylish for aesthetic
  • Gives you the best of both toilets.

Round Toilet Bowls

Unlike their elongated counter parts, the round toilet bowls are the most common designs due to these.

  • They take much lesser space/ room
  • They have fit many home designs
  • They are usually quite affordable
  • They are the easiest toilet to install

Elongated Toilet Bowls often extend from wall about 18 inches plus. On the contrary the Round Toilet Bowls take slightly below 17 inches making them super options for the very small space designs.

Oval Toilet Bowls

Also known as the Compacted Elongated Bowls, the oval toilet bowl saves 10% more space than the normal Elongated Toilet Bowls. They are likable for.

  • They have stylish designs
  • They are less demanding

Usually, round shapes require less space but are much more comfortable. Oval shapes on the other hand require more space to install, while elongated shapes are the master of class and design.

Toilet Seat Heights

The reason why a knowing the height of your toilet seat plays a key role is simple. It determines how comfortable your will be when using the toilet. When your legs dangle, they grow tired fast and a leaves you quite uncomfortable. Here is what you should know about the toilet seat height (Source: Toiletrated).

Toilet height is simply measured with a tape measure. The measurement is taken from the floor to the top of the seat. Heights vary, but more often they fall somewhere between 14 inches and 18 inches.

The standard toilets sit 14 inches. However the Chair Height Toilets or the Comfort Height Toilets – like Kohler refers to them will measure 15 inches or more.  Many of them 16″+ are ADA compliant.

Standard toilets are ideal for people with smaller stature or average heights. On the other hand, Chair Height Toilets are often two inches higher than standard-height toilets. They are easier to use as too.

Finally there are the Custom Height Toilets.  A good example of this type of toilet is the Wall-hung toilets that can often be positioned at a desired height from 15-3/8″ to 28-1/2″ to allow range of users.

Toilet Trapways

High Flow Toilets Sale

Another important consideration to go with is the toilet trapway. The main job of a toilet trapway is to carry waste from the toilet bowl to the main sewer line piping. A fully glazed toilet trapway will keep a smooth flow. Here are some toilet trapways that you can always go along with.

Exposed

The Exposed Trapway is traditionally designed. They can be easily seen from the side of any toilet that uses this design. They are characterized with standard caps to cover the exposed bolts that attach your toilet to the floor.

Concealed

These one features a smooth trapway surface. You can easily wipe the surface clean. Low-profile bolt caps are used instead of the traditionally exposed raised caps in order to provide a smooth, easy-to-clean surface on toilets (Visit: Toilet Rated).

Completely Hidden

fully skirted toiletThis is also known as the skirted trapway. It offers an easy-to-clean uniform base usually extending from the front to back of the toilet base. Usually, no bolts are exposed and many models require no drilling or caulk to install.

Toilet trapways are easy to manage as you can learn how to remove your toilet caps and again replace them with a more exquisite design. The process is usually simple and more specifically a DIY procedure.

Flush Systems

Apart from what we have seen the next thing in line to play an integral part on how your toilet operates is the flushing system. From gravity, dual flush, to double cyclone, or single flush the choice literally lies with you.

Even so the way your flushing lever is placed will be determined with what types of design you need. Today, toilets come with varying flush leavers and some of the most common ones that you might find are these.

  • Single Flush toilets with levers on left or right sides of the toilet.
  • Dual Flush toilets with the flushing lever for small and full flush.
  • Touchless Flush that uses a sensor to trigger the flush of your toilet.
  • Wall Mounted flush that works with wall hung toilets for convenience.

Benefits of Good Flushing Toilets

Looking at what having a great toilet entails, we can’t still walk away from the benefits of a good flushing toilet.

High Flow toilets offer an easy to use method to remove waste. They are very hygienic and will help to keep germs and bacteria away. Additionally, a high flow toilet is easy to take care of will last longer than a normal toilet. They also keep odor away and leave you with a fresh breath always. One last thing though, they are eco-friendly but can a little pricey but generally worth it.

Conclusion

To keep your toilet functioning at best, it is important that you learn some of the most Common Problems of Toilets and how to take care of them. This will help you to learn more about your toilet and also work with it in the most appropriate ways.

Summary

Toilets are a necessity in a home. They also help to boost the value of your home and also to keep your options for improvements open. Always choose a design that is best for you.

 

Contributed by: Perfectbath foremost experts in Toilets and bathroom fixtures

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SOMA by SDAE on Cambie

SOMA by SDAE is a new development at West 62nd Ave & Cambie, centrally located to connect to the airport, downtown, UBC and more. Surrounded by beautiful parks, trails, and minutes away from shopping and entertainment. SOMA offers 32 residential 1-3 bedroom units. SOMA’s striking contemporary architecture has been designed to complement its natural surroundings. Abundant landscaping around the exterior provides privacy at ground level, while Soma’s rooftop gardens bring the natural beauty of the surrounding area to your home.

 

 

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Wednesday, November 29, 2017

You Don’t Have The Time Not To Coach!

One of the most frequently asked questions I get is, “How do I find the time to coach?”  My immediate reaction is, “How can you possibly do your job without  taking the time to coach?”

Let me deconstruct this a little.

Managers are accountable for making sure their teams hit their numbers.  But there are only a few ways to do this.

  1.  The manager can play “super sales person.”  After all, the manager was probably a top sales person that was promoted into the manager role.  Here’s the challenge with this strategy.  First, when the manager was an individual contributor, while he was a top performer, it took full time effort to achieve those levels of performance.  Trying to do  the same thing as a FLSM, the numbers go against him.  If he has 10 people on his team, but continues to play the role of an individual contributor, he must do 10 times the number of deals he did in the past, but he has the same 24 hours/day, 7 days a week.  So the manager quickly runs out of time, it becomes impossible to achieve the numbers.
  2. I know what you are thinking, the manager doesn’t have to do 100% of those activities himself.  He can tell his people what to do, swooping in at the end to close the deal.  These managers are in “tell mode.”  Basically, this individual is pulling on the strings in the background.  The way this works is each sales person has to brief him on everything that’s happening with a deal.  After the manager is briefed, he tells the sales person what to do, the sales person goes out to do those things, then comes back, updating the manager, waiting to be told what to do next.  Ultimately what happens is the manager us having to be updated every week on every deal.  Let’s say each sales person has a pipeline of 50 deals.  That’s 500 deals across the team.  If the manager only spends 10 minutes a week on each of those deals, that’s 5000 minutes or 83 hours a week.  And that’s just doing telling people what to do on their deals.  Even if the manager only reviewed half those deals each week, it’s over 40 hours.  But the manager has to spend time doing all sorts of other things.
  3. Now the situation, gets much more complicated.  If the manager is doing any variant of 1 or 2, their top performers get pissed off.  After all, they know how to do these deals themselves, perhaps better than the manager, but the manager doesn’t recognize this and is in tell mode with those top performers.  They get pissed off and leave.  They go to a place where they have the ability to make their own contributions, growing their capabilities and career.  So the manager is left with the poorest performers.  All of a sudden the dynamics change.  Only the low performers are left, they aren’t as good in executing the manager’s instructions, win rates plummet, the manager has to go out and do more himself, the 83 hours a week he had been spending is no longer enough.
  4. There’s the other situation, the manager that believes they can make the numbers sitting behind the desk doing analysis.  Their people are struggling, they need help, but the manager is too busy doing spreadsheets to understand the what’s going on or to coach the sales people on how they can win.  But they do need information and need to be informed, so they can add that data to their models and analysis.  They spend a lot of time with sales people reporting what’s going on on every deal.  This takes time the people would normally be spent selling.  The manager will see this in their analysis, recognizing the sales people aren’t spending enough time selling.  To understand this situation, they take more of their sales people’s time—-you know where this is going…..
  5. In each of these scenarios, you can see the manager has structured impossible situations for themselves and their teams.  They simply run out of time, there is no way they can get their jobs done and assure their people are making the numbers.  To survive, at least from a workload and time point of view, they start taking short cuts, they spend their time on certain situations or certain people, ignoring everything else.  But now they are increasing the risk, it becomes even more unlikely to achieve their plan.  For example, they focus only on a few deals or people.  But their goals are based on each person on the team achieving their numbers.  Now you see that even these pragmatic short cuts put performance of the whole team at risk.

Too many managers adapt one or some combination of the styles I’ve outlined above.  It’s no wonder, they say, “I don’t have the time to coach!”  But they don’t have the time to achieve success using these techniques!

What would happen if the mindset of managers changed?

What if managers recognize they only way they achieve their goals is through maximizing the performance of their teams?

Then what if they considered, “How do I maximize the performance of each person on the team?”  Quickly, the manager realizes developing their capabilities, helping them develop stronger win strategies, or increase the quality of their pipelines, or improve what they accomplish in each interaction with the customer, or how to better use their time.

The more the manager get people to do these things, the more likely they are each going to be able to achieve their goals, enabling the manager to achieve his goals.

Once the manager gets to this point, then they start thinking, “How do I do this?”  Pretty soon the manager will realize the only way to do this is through coaching and developing their people.

Soon the manager recognizes, coaching is the highest leverage on the manager’s own time in maximizing the performance of the team.

Ultimately, the manager realizes he doesn’t have the time not to coach!

 



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Product Versus Solution Selling

It must be that time of year, but recently I’ve gotten a number of queries from thoughtful executives:  “Dave, we need to transform the way we sell from product to solution selling……”

That statement is always a little confusing to me,  naturally I ask, “What does that mean and why do you want to change?”

Here the conversation usually gets a little fuzzy.  Usually the response is “Customers want solutions not products….”

My response is, “I get that, but what do you mean when you want to move from product selling to solutions?”  Alternatively, I might ask, “What solutions do you have to sell?”

By this point, the executive is usually a little frustrated with me, she may be on the verge of hanging up–fortunately we work through things.

Don’t feel bad if you are confused with this issue, the concept has achieved a life that has been somewhat separated from the true intent of what we are trying to achieve.  The concept of solution selling has been around since the mid 70’s (that’s the earliest reference I can find), and popularized in a number of books with Solution Selling in the title.

Today, I think a lot of the original distinction has been lost.  Many organizations claim to have switched from selling products to selling solutions.  Their sales people meet with the customer, their focus is on “pitching the solution.”

The problem has become the way we view this concept, it continues to focus on “what we sell,” rather than “how we sell,” or “how we help the customer achieve their goals.”

If our focus is on what we sell, regardless of what we call them–products or solutions, the way we engage our customers is very different.  We tend to focus on the thing that we are selling–it’s features, attributes, performance, comparisons to alternatives, and so forth.

Inevitably, the customer is left to figure out, “What does this mean to me?  How does it help me improve, how does it solve my problems?

Unfortunately, too often, we put new labels–perhaps after some well intended training–on what we are doing, without changing what we are doing.  We adopt a new approach, perhaps calling it solutions, consultative, customer focused, insight, or whatever label is fashionable, but we fundamentally haven’t changed.

But as long as our focus is on what we do. what we offer, and our own goals; not what the customer is trying to achieve, we will never engage the customer in the most impactful manner.  Inevitably, whatever discovery process we may go through, what ever need identification is focused on determining what we pitch, but the conversations are focused on what we sell and do, not what the customer is trying to achieve.

Wrapping “solution oriented” words like “we help our customers reduce costs, we help improve quality, we help improve productivity, we help grow revenue,” are simply attributes or your product or solution, much like the features and functions.  But they aren’t focused on the customer, what, why, and how they can achieve their goals.

High impact selling, regardless of the label, always has the customer at the center of the focus.  It is their goals, dreams, challenges, problems and opportunities that drive the focus of the conversation.  It is within the context of these things that we position our products, solutions, services; identifying specifically how we help them achieve those goals.

As you think about transitioning your approach to selling, think about your focus.  If you, your products/solutions, and company are the center of your focus, you will never engage the customer in the most relevant and impactful manner.

If your focus is always centered on the customer, you will transform the conversations you have, and your ability to be successful.

 



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Opposition Batting Marcels

When the Musings Marcels for 2018 came out last week, some readers wondered if there would be pitching Marcels this year. The pitching Marcels as developed by Tom Tango are much more complicated, so I have not taken the time to implement them. This year, however, the thought occurred to simply flip the batting Marcels and publish Opposition Batting Musings Marcels (OBMM) for 2018. Instead of predicting wins, losses, games started, etc, OBMM strives to show a pitcher’s season from a batter’s perspective.

The main changes from the formula for batters is in the reversing of the aging effect (except for strikeouts) and the calculation of plate appearances (batters facing pitcher). The new formula tends to overestimate the playing time of relievers, and may underestimate the playing time of starters. The formula is One year ago PA * 0.65 + Two years ago PA * 0.06 + 107. That comes from a regression analysis of 10000 pitcher seasons, with the constants rounded a bit.

The spreadsheet also contains estimates of innings pitcher, runs allowed per nine innings, and FIP.

The purpose is to serve as a guide, not an exact prediction. Batters are projected to hit .217/.268/.357 against Corey Kluber. If they hit anywhere close to that, Kluber will have a very good year. Ubaldo Jimenez should post an opposition slash line of around .276/.350/.462. He probably won’t survive another year in the majors with that kind of pitching.

Please let me know what you think, or if you have any suggestions.



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Tuesday, November 28, 2017

The Stanton Negotiations

There is a new twist to the Giancarlo Stanton trade talks, the Marlins willingness to keep Stanton and trade away the rest of the stars:

According to two sources with knowledge of discussions, the Marlins informed Stanton in October that if he refused to waive his no-trade rights and accept a trade, he would remain a Marlin and team officials would look to trade off other top players to reduce payroll.

While it wasn’t presented to Stanton as an ultimatum, one source said, it shows that the Marlins aren’t without leverage in their efforts to deal Stanton and relieve them of the financial burden he brings. Stanton has said he doesn’t wish to be part of a rebuild.

So which would be better for the Marlins, keeping one superstar and building around him, or keeping a few good players and building around them? If the Marlins can get a number of good, near MLB ready players for the others, in a couple of years with Stanton they could be very good. A good GM could fill in the pieces pretty quickly.



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Lost? Try Page Six

Page Six of the New York Post puts Matt Harvey back in the spot light as he dates internet model Kristina Krishka. Normally I don’t care about these things, but the Post wins best line of the off-season so far:

Krishka and reps for the Mets did not get back to us. But if this thing works out, the duo can start their own Harvey-Krishka movement.

I can just see Harvey pitching next year with his pony tail hanging out the hole in the back of his cap.



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Monday, November 27, 2017

Do Customers Really Have A Buying Process?

It’s become common “wisdom” that we have to align align our sales process with our customers’ buying processes.  I write about it constantly, as well as hundreds of others.  It’s become almost a mantra in all the literature and training programs.

I suppose it’s easy to want to believe customers have buying processes.  Certainly, procurement has processes they follow in their buying activities.  There is a certain structure/process to the RFP/RFQ process.  Things we buy every day have a certain routine-ness to them, to the point they become transactional, which may be a process.

But if we look at complex B2B buying, do customers really have a buying process?

There’s some evidence they may not–or at least their processes aren’t very good.  Both CSO Insights and CEB point to high rates of “No Decision Made,”  each citing data that over 50% of buying efforts result in No Decision Made (Note this is different than a decision not to change.)  If customers had good buying processes, wouldn’t the failure rate be much lower?

There’s another way to look at this.  We develop processes to streamline things which we do very frequently.  For example, manufacturing processes drive for maximum repeatability and effectiveness in the manufacturing process.  Invoicing and accounts payable each follow standard repeatable processes and are tuned to maximize effectiveness and efficiency.  Order processing, likewise is tuned for repeatability and efficiency.  Our sales process focuses on the critical activities we must consistently execute with the customer.

Implicit in the development of processes is the fact that we do certain things frequently, and we want to develop processes to optimize how we do those things.  We want to repeat and tune our effectiveness, efficiency, and ability to produce similar outcomes each time we undertake the task.

Which brings us back to the question, in complex B2B buying, to the customers really have a buying process?

By definition, these are things our customers don’t do frequently.  In fact our customers really struggle to buy.  They struggle with recognizing the need to change.  They struggle with aligning differing priorities and agendas in the buying group.  They struggle with the activities they must undertake to define, agree on a solution, make a decision, and move forward to implementing a solution.

Part of the problem is the buying group constantly changes.  So there is little inherent knowledge of previous buying experience they can leverage.  Even though there may be some common people in each buying process (for example procurement, IT), there are people that are new to this particular buying effort–who may not have been involved in a similar buying decision for years.  For example, how many times in their careers do financial executives make decisions on new Financial Systems?  Or manufacturing executives buying new plants/assembly lines, or engineering executives buying new design tools, or sales/marketing executives buying new CRM tools.

Most complex B2B buying decisions are made very infrequently, often with very different business conditions, and different people involved in the decision effort.  As a result, it’s highly unlikely they have a well defined buying process.  In fact, as Hank Barnes has said, the process can be quite “squishy.”

There are certain activities that are common in every buying effort, for example, agree on the need to change, define the problem, needs, desired outcomes, define the process to evaluate alternatives and make decisions.  But each of these and the context of each of these, and the participants, are different for each buying decision.

The reality is, for complex B2B buying efforts, our customers are unlikely to have a buying process.   They are struggling to figure out how to buy and have relatively limited collective experience of buying/solving this problem in the past.  They need our help to help them define what they should do.  They need our help to recognize the need to change, to engage the right people in driving the change initiative, to align priorities/agendas, to determine what they want to achieve, to determine the steps and activities they should go through to achieve those goals.

While our customers probably don’t have a buying process, we must be not revert to the old days of inflicting our sales process on customers.

In the past, what’s been wrong about our selling process, is that it has primarily focused on what we do to customers to get them to buy.

While it’s unlikely that our customers don’t have a buying process, they are still in control!  Our selling process has to be focused on helping them buy and achieving their goals, because it’s only that which enables us to achieve our goals.

 



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Campbell Residences at Cambie Village

Campbell Residences is located in the heart of Cambie Village, introducing a limited offering of eight townhomes with the modern luxury of new construction to create a true one-of-a-kind home ownership experience.Campbell Residences is set along a serene tree-lined street in Cambie Village, with convenient access to urban amenities, shopping, restaurants, and parks

 

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The Case Against the Hall

Paul Swydan suggests that the Hall of Fame is not worth our time:

I’m not suggesting everyone should cease attempting to identify baseball’s top players or most influential figures. History is important. I just don’t think that the National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum should be the focus of this attention or serve as the arbiter of these decisions. One thing that struck me repeatedly while reading Jay Jaffe’s book, The Cooperstown Casebook, earlier this year is just how relentlessly the Hall of Fame has failed at the task of electing the best players to its institution.

I try not to get to upset or happy about Hall of Fame votes. This is a tough period for the voters as they try to infer who was a great player versus who was a great player because of help from drugs. It seems to me lately the writers are getting the top tier correct, electing many players on first ballots who clearly should be in the Hall. (Can anyone imagine not electing Yogi Berra on the first ballot today?)

Peter Gammons made a good point about the Hall of Fame in his discussion of Joe Morgan‘s issues today. It’s a point I used to make in respect to Roger Maris:

It doesn’t mean that anyone named in the Mitchell Report or who tested positive is therefore banished from the game for life. To the contrary—there are nearly 15 people named by Mitchell who have been coaching, advising, broadcasting and representing players over the last two years. Morgan’s contention is that there is a difference between Mark McGwire being a great, tireless coach and player advocate and being elected to The Hall. It does not in any way demean McGwire’s sincere contributions to the game and to so many who play it. He has a place in the museum, just not in the lineup of plaques.

Maris was in the Hall for his 61 home run feat, as are McGwire and Barry Bonds for their home run feats.

In addition, it strikes me that there is a good discussion about players. Fans interact with voters through web sites, voters interact with each other through their work in the media, and all make their opinions known. Minds are swayed in each direction. I think the voting process is getting better, but no process is going to produce a result that pleases everyone.



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Clinging To The Past

Both we and our customers struggle with change.  Think, for a moment, how many times you may have said, or you’ve heard within your organization or from your customers:

“But we’ve always done things this way…….”

“If it ain’t broke……”

We live in business and personal worlds characterized by turbulence and change.  Clinging to the things we’ve always done forces us to stay stuck in the past.

Ironically, we are working harder than ever before.  We are putting in longer hours, we are constantly increasing volumes–more calls, more prospecting, more deals, bigger pipelines.  We are doing more of what we’ve always done, perhaps amplified with a layer of technology, yet the results we seek, evade us.

What worked in the past is no longer working, at least it isn’t producing results at the level that we need.

As we wind up the year, looking into the new year, it’s critical to re-assess everything that we do.  If it isn’t producing results, why continue?  If we aren’t engaging our customers in a way that resonates with them, then what do we need to do?  If our people aren’t performing, then how do we help improve their performance?

These questions aren’t unanswerable.  We know there are solutions, there is ample evidence that becoming customer focused, creating value in every interaction works. There is ample evidence that discipline, focus, and process works.  We know putting the right people in the right jobs, coaching and developing them works.  We know we must be constantly learning.

We know it takes work, it’s challenging, sometimes frightening.

But the alternative is unacceptable.

 

 



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Players Don’t Usually Retire

Andre Ethier denies reports that he is going to retire:

Ethier told Ken Gurnick of MLB.com that a report from FanRag Sports’ Robert Murray stating he planned to call it a career is “totally untrue.” Ethier added that his back is healthy and he’s preparing to play next season.

Very few players actually retire, meaning they voluntarily leave the game when a team still wants their services. Most who announce a retirement are in the position that no team wants their services, so they face reality and move on to their post-baseball life.



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Sunday, November 26, 2017

Half War Pitcher

Reports indicate the Texas Rangers signed Doug Fister to a one-year, $4 million contract:

Claimed off waivers in late May because the Boston Red Sox were in need of pitching depth, Fister helped secure his new deal for 2018 by putting together a solid seven-start stretch in the middle of last season.

The Rangers may not have a lot of confidence in that seven game stretch, so they are paying Fister for about a 1/2 WAR season. If he indeed improved, he’ll pitch for a much better salary in the future, although the Rangers have an option for 2019. There’s no downside to the deal for the Rangers, and plenty of upside.



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Cold Hot Stove

George Steinbrenner did not believe in time off, which is one of the reasons I miss him. If the biggest story of the weekend was a player sending out a survey to teams, Steinbrenner would have signed a free agent, or fired someone, just to make news.

Fortunately, we have Dave Laurila and his Sunday notes column. His lead discusses the optimism of Reds general manager Dick Williams about the Cincinnati rotation:

“If you look at their last eight starts, Romano and Castillo had ERAs under 3.00,” Williams told me. “Mahle made four starts at the big-league level and his ERA was 2.70. That’s a really encouraging finish for those guys. A lot of our young pitchers made progress over the course of the season.”

This table shows the Reds pitchers over the final quarter of the season. Luis Castillo did pitch brilliantly, with a low ERA, a high strikeout rate, a low walk rate, and just two home runs allowed in 29 innings. The other young starters did indeed have low ERAs, but also appeared to have some weaknesses in their three true outcomes, either with a low strikeout rate or a high walk rate.

What they all did, however, was keep the ball in the park. That should be a reason for optimism. Great American Ballpark tends to favor home run hitters, so if the Reds are developing a staff that prevents home runs, that should be an advantage for the team. They can survive higher walk rates or more balls in play if the ball stays in the park.

I will also note these pitchers tended not to go very deep in games. The Reds appeared to be pulling them before they could get in trouble. There is nothing wrong with that. The pitchers go into the winter with a positive view of how they finished the season. They can build on that in 2018. The Reds found pitchers that fit their park, and gave them a chance to experience success. Well done.



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Friday, November 24, 2017

More Money

Once again, MLB set a record for revenue in a season:

Major League Baseball continues to hit home runs on the business side. According to sources at the league, 2017 marks the 15th consecutive year MLB has seen record gross revenues, surpassing the $10 billion mark for the first time. By comparison, the league saw revenues approaching $9.5 billion at the end of the 2015 season.

The growth is due in large part to baseball’s compelling postseason play over the last several years, media rights—both traditional television and digital–and continued labor peace.

What to do with all that money? I say pay the hitters and pitchers to play faster.

Hat tip BBTF.



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Thursday, November 23, 2017

Amber 633 W King Edward on South Cambie

Amber by Aragon Properties is a new condo and townhome development at 633 W. King Edward & Ash that is coming to the South Cambie neighborhood, defining a lifestyle of convenience. Amber offers 31 one- to three-bedroom condos and townhomes. Shops, cafe, health center, and theatres are just steps away. With Canada Line station only a block away, Amber makes it easy for residents to travel to downtown Vancouver, Richmond, and the airport.The South Cambie neighborhood borders include Queen Elizabeth Park to the east and the residential Shaughnessy to the west. South Cambie is located right between the busy north-south corridors of Oak and Cambie streets, and it stretches from West 16th Avenue in the north, to West 41st in the south.

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The Morrison in North Vancouver

The Morrison in North Vancouver built by the award-winning Haebler Group to rigorous standards and are registered under the LEED Gold building program, offering the collection of 40 London-inspired West Coast Modern townhomes and garden flats. The Morrison features 1-4 bedroom homes adjacent to the newly expanded Moodyville Park and entrance to the Spirit Trail, many with private rooftop decks with stunning views. All homes feature private walk-up entrances and were crafted to embrace the North Shore’s coveted indoor-outdoor lifestyle with generously sized patios, decks, and vehicle-free courtyards.

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Scenic Base Pt 2



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Happy Thanksgiving

Once again this year, I am thankful for the readers of this site. Thanks so much for your support!

I hope you get to enjoy the holiday with family, friends, and lots of good food!



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Wednesday, November 22, 2017

Inspiration From José Altuve

Jose Altuve

I recently shared a brief video to Instagram about the humble beginnings of one of the best baseball players in the world (José Altuve). Following that post, I had several people ask where the video originated and whether there was additional footage. Fortunately, there is a full documentary that you can watch below. And in case you’re wondering, Altuve’s story is worth watching whether you’re a baseball fan or not.

José Altuve is the perfect example of an individual who continually defied the odds on his road to greatness. Anyone who’s ever been told that they couldn’t achieve something will surely enjoy witnessing his rise to the top. Plenty of experts wrote him off as a youngster, but he’s now a World Series champion and was recently named the American League’s Most Valuable Player.

And at just 27 years old, he’s really just getting started.

Big Dreams РThe Jos̩ Altuve Story

If you are unable to view the video above, please try this link.

+++++

“It’s hard to beat a person who never gives up.” – Babe Ruth

The post Inspiration From José Altuve appeared first on RossTraining.com.



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Musings Marcels 2018

Musings Marcels for 2018 for batters are now available. You can copy or download the data for your fantasy needs. The Marcel the Monkey Forecasting System (or Marcels for short) was invented by Tom Tango, and here is his explanation.

I like to look at the leader boards as predicted by the Marcels to see if anything surprising comes up. For batting average, Jose Altuve leads the majors with a .328 mark, but in the NL, DJ LeMahieu takes the title at .312. The NL race is very tight, with five players between .307 and .312, with second place in the AL goes to Mike Trout at .305.

For OBP, Joey Votto leads the majors at .429, with Mike Trout coming in second and first in the AL at .422. Paul Goldschmidt and Bryce Harper are the only other players predicted to top .400. Trout pops to the top of the list for slugging percentage at .577, with Nolan Arenado leading the NL at .569. Aaron Judge projects to be second in the AL at .567.

The hit leaders project to be Jose Altuve at 178 and Charlie Blackmon at 173. Doubles go to Jose Ramirez in the AL with 42 and Daniel Murphy in the NL with 39. Mookie Betts comes in second in the AL, also with 39. Blackmon leads the majors with eight triples, while Nick Castellanos, Trea Turner, and Dee Gordon all come in with seven.

The home run leader board puts Giancarlo Stanton at the top with 42, with Khris Davis and Aaron Judge tied for second at 36. If Stanton stays in the National League, those are your league leaders. The next closest NL hitters would be Arenado at 34 home runs.

Votto rules the walk world with 105, Aaron Judge leading the AL with 88.

Here are slash lines for some of the top free agent hitters:

  • Lorenzo Cain: .290/.350/.438
  • Eric Hosmer: .293/.359/.467
  • Carlos Santana: .251/.356/.444
  • Mike Moustakas: .271/.325/.488
  • Eduardo Nunez: .291/.332/.440
  • Zack Cozart: .269/.340/.470
  • J.D. Martinez: .291/.358/.564

Enjoy your research!



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The Full Braves Story

Here is the full story on the Braves malfeasance:

The Braves lost 13 prospects and former general manager John Coppolella was banned for life by Major League Baseball on Tuesday for circumventing international signing rules from 2015-17.

Former Atlanta special assistant Gordon Blakeley, who was the team’s international scouting chief, was suspended from baseball for one year by Commissioner Rob Manfred.

Sanctions imposed by Manfred leave the Braves unable to bargain at full strength for a top Latin American prospect until 2021.

Manfred said MLB’s investigation determined the Braves funneled extra signing bonus money to five players in 2015-16 by giving the funds first to another player considered a foreign professional under baseball’s rules and having the money redistributed to the other five. If the money had been counted for the other five, the Braves would have exceeded their pool by more than 5 per cent and been restricted to signing bonuses of $300,000 or under for international amateurs through June 15, 2019.

Banned for life. That’s Pete Rose, Shoeless Joe Jackson territory. It is very clear that MLB believes the Braves didn’t just make a mistake or try to find a loophole in the rule. This was a premeditated flaunting of the rules.



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Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Ohtani Boy, The Hype, The Hype is Calling

The posting system lives long enough to bring Shohei Ohtani and a big pay day to the Fighters:

MLB, NPB, and the MLBPA agreed to a new posting system prior to tonight’s deadline, according to multiple reports. Ohtani will be grandfathered in under the old posting agreement this offseason, meaning the Nippon Ham Fighters will receive a $20M release fee. The new posting agreement will take effect next offseason.

Joel Sherman has the details of the new posting rates:

I don’t think Ohtani will be a two-way player in MLB. There is just too much specialization and preparation needed for a batter or a pitcher. If he were to pitch and hit, he might be better off in the AL where he would serve as the designated hitter in games he did not pitch. However, the team would lose the DH in games in which he did pitch and came out early (even if he moves to another position). My guess is that whoever signs him will minimize the two way playing, deciding which is more valuable, batting or pitching.



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Another Data Point

Aaron Judge underwent shoulder surgery:

American League Rookie of the Year Aaron Judge had arthroscopic surgery on his left shoulder Monday, but he is expected to be ready for the beginning of spring training, the New York Yankees announced.

The procedure involved a loose-body removal and cartilage cleanup, the team said.

Judge, 25, played down the impact of his shoulder issues during his slump that began the second half, but there was suspicion that the shoulder could be bothering him.

It does seem like major slumps have an associated injury. The Yankee might have been better off putting Judge on the DL early in August for two weeks to give the shoulder a chance to heal.



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Westbury by Gryphon on Vancouver’s Westside

Westbury by Gryphon is a new townhome development at MacDonald St & Alamein Ave, located in the heart of Vancouver’s prestigious West Side. Westbury offers only 6 townhomes and 2 commercial units, give you the opportunity to be immersed in one of Vancouver’s finest neighborhoods. ind tranquility in the quiet tree-lined streets, convenience in the abundance of local shops and restaurants, or sanctuary in the comfort of your thoughtfully-designed home. Westbury makes it all possible.

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Free Braves!

MLB brings the hammer down on the Braves.

Following an investigation that cost general manager John Coppolella and scout Gordon Blakeley their jobs and led indirectly to the resignation of president of baseball operations John Hart, MLB determined the Braves had broken rules – the most severe of which was the packaging of signing bonuses – in the 2016-17 and 2017-18 international signing periods. Nine players from the Braves’ 2016-17 signing class, the majority of whom received bonuses in excess of $1 million, will be declared free agents, as will three players from the most recent class. Atlanta also will lose a draft pick next June for trying to induce a player this year with off-the-books perks, sources told Yahoo Sports.

The biggest name is the 17-year-old Maitan, a switch-hitting shortstop from Venezuela who signed for $4.25 million and was one of the most highly touted prospects from Latin America in the last decade. He will be eligible to sign with the 29 other teams, who will be able to use leftover money from the current international signing period or dip into their 2018-19 bonus pools to sign the ex-Braves, a source familiar with the penalties said. Each of the players will be forced to use an agent different than the buscon, or trainer, who negotiated the original deals.

Atlanta, limited to spending a maximum of $300,000 for a player in the 2017-18 and 2018-19 signing periods, will face severe penalties in the two periods thereafter, according to sources. In 2019-20, Atlanta will be restricted from spending more than $10,000 per player – and will be banned from signing Robert Puason, the 14-year-old shortstop from the Dominican Republic with whom the Braves had struck a deal deemed illegal because of his age. Come 2020-21, the Braves will lose half their signing-bonus pool, which is expected to be $4.75 million.

I don’t remember problems like this when teams were allowed to treat international players as free agents and could sign them for what the market would bear. The rules were put in place because some teams were spending “Too Much Money” (TM). So now teams are trying to circumvent the rules and getting in trouble. Maybe MLB should rethink these restrictions and let teams spend what they want. The current rules are creating criminals.



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The Twenty Second Clock

It looks like the 20-second clock will be introduced for the 2018 season. There does seem to be some desire on the part of the players to negotiate the amount of time. MLB does not seem to be budging:

After informal conversations between MLB and the players’ union in August, some players walked away from those meetings resigned to the idea that, one way or another, a pitch clock would be put in place for 2018. They wondered, however, if the time between pitches might be negotiated to 22 seconds or 24 seconds.

MLB, however, wants the 20-second pitch clock. And whether the union agrees or not, MLB has the power to implement this and other rules for the 2018 season.

I still think the idea of paying players to play faster is a better solution.



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3 Things to Remember When Choosing Bathroom Grout Color

Content originally published and Shared from http://perfectbath.com

Picking the right grout color is much more important than you might think. It can affect the whole look you’re going for and also how much time you will have to spend scrubbing your bathroom floor. Before you decide on anything, make sure you read the following:

Image Source: Flickr

How often would you like to clean the floor?
Your choice won’t just influence the look of the space; it will also affect how much scrubbing you’ll need to do. “Light-color grout needs to be cleaned more often. Darker grout can produce efflorescence that will need to be cleaned and removed,” says Walker. Either way, he suggests sealing the grout to prevent stains. Source: ArchitecturalDigest

Consider creating a cohesive look
Colorful grout works especially well when it picks up a hue that is found elsewhere in the space, so it feels harmonious to the palette instead of coming out of nowhere. It’s definitely not for everyone, but for those who want a unique look, it can add a lot of personality. Just keep in mind that your grout is not nearly as easy to replace as a coat of paint, so you’ll want to be sure to pick a color you truly love and not a fleeting trend. Source: Houzz

Take a hint from your tiles
Decide what color tiles you are going to use. There are a wide range of tile materials and designs to choose from, each with its own characteristics and appearance. Do you want tiles with a solid color or printed patterns? Are they manufactured porcelain or ceramic, or are they natural stone? Are you using mosaic sheets with differently-colored tiles? Understanding the color composition of the tile that you choose will help you find the most complimentary grout. Source: WikiHow

Make your bathroom look much better when you get quality fixtures that exude your elegant taste. Call us today!

 

Contact:
Perfect Bath
601 – 1550 W. 10th Ave
Vancouver, V6J 1Z9
Canada
Phone: (604) 559-1988

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Monday, November 20, 2017

Proving Math Works, Flawed Coaching Arguments

There seem to be no end of articles on who and how managers should invest their time in coaching.  Recently, I read another, with lots of people piling on with their opinions and proving it with numbers.  As is usual,  most of these discussions that prove little more than math works.

Many of the arguments go something like this:  “Assume an A player is doing $250K, a B player is doing $150K.  If we raise the performance of each by 10%, clearly the incremental $25K from the A player far exceeds the increment of $15K from the B player.”  With that argument, we are all supposed to see that we should be investing in our A players.  Clearly, if we have only 2 people to manage, that makes sense, but then one wonders, why not coach both?

But usually, we have more than 2 people on our teams.  The average span of control is 8-14 people.  So let’s re-rerun the math.  Let’s assume a “normal distribution.”  We have 2 A players, 6 B players, and 2 C players.  We can still play the math games, but this time with a different conclusion.  With a 10% improvement in the A and B players (we’ll get to the C players later), the net improvement driven by A players is $50K and the net improvement driven by the B players is $90K.  Using the same math and logic, we have a completely different conclusion.

Let’s then think about the assumptions, is it realistic to assume the same 10% improvement in each category of sales people–which all these math arguments assume?  If an A player is playing at the top of their game, is it reasonable to think that we can get a 10% performance improvement, just because we say so?  If they are highly effective, impactful, and productive, certainly they can improve, but 10% might be a stretch, or it might take much more time to get to that level.

As much as I hate sports analogies, think of a top performing athlete.  While they continuously improve, the rate of improvement tends to decline because it becomes more and more difficult to find and achieve those levels of improvement.  It’s the same with our top players.  They will and want to continue to improve, but the increments will decline because it’s much more difficult to find those improvement opportunities.

Likewise, with the B players, why have such low expectations of them with only 10% improvement?  Clearly, at the original baseline, A players are performing 66% better than B’s.  So we have the opportunity to improve their performance to match the A players by as much as 66%, why are we setting arbitrary assumptions limiting ourselves to 10%?  And the path to that improvement is pretty clear, we model the A player approaches and coach the B players on those already proven approaches.

But again, I’m just playing with numbers and since I am setting the rules, I can do anything to prove my point, and math always works.

We always tend to ignore the C players in these discussions.  (Yeah, we want to ignore them, they are such a pain to work with and coach.)  Let’s say our C players are producing $100K.  Sure we can use the same arguments, let’s improve their performance by 10%, getting them each to $110K.  It’s far less than the $25K improvement from each the A players.  Less than the $15K improvement of the each of the B players, but usually, we apply this same logic.

But then, we think again.  Because they are C players, how easy is it going to be to get them to increase their performance by 10%?  (This is actually the same challenge with increasing the performance of A players by 10%).

On the other hand, what we miss is the devastating impact they have on revenue.  We are losing a minimum of $100K on those two C players (They are each performing $50K less than the B players), or possibly $300K when compared to the potential that A players show we can achieve.  This would argue, we should be investing the majority of our time in the C players because of eliminating the lost revenue they create is far better than the investments we make in either the A or B players.

We can play these numbers games all day.  In this short discussion, we’ve gone from saying, our highest leverage is the A players, to the highest leverage is the B players, to the highest leverage is the C players.  But all we’ve really done is played games to prove math works.

When are we going to focus on the basic responsibility of Front Line Sales Managers and stop playing silly math games?

The job of the FLSM is to maximize the performance of everyone on their team.

We can’t work with just the people we want to work with, we have to work with everyone.  We can’t invest equal amounts of time in each person, we have to invest the right time in each person.  Because each person has differing needs, each has differing strengths and weaknesses, we have to adjust the time and coaching approaches to each individual.  The rate of improvement of each person will vary, but we have to maximize each the performance of each person.

The job of the FLSM is, also to maximize the share and growth of the territory.  As a result, we have to continue to look at the mix of our people to determine if we are doing everything we can to get the most out of the territory.  If we can’t raise the skills of our people to achieve our goals in the territory, we need to look at remaking our teams, building them with people that enable us to achieve the full potential of the territory.

I suppose it’s human nature to want easy solutions, but simplistic arguments aren’t helpful.

Let’s stop playing silly math games, let’s start focusing on the jobs of FLSMs, coaching them, giving them the tools necessary to maximize the performance of their teams and their performance in their territories.

 



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Another Day

The MLBPA extended the deadline for a new posting agreement. I assume that means the sides are close to an agreement, close enough that they didn’t want to shut down talks.



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Every Small Bathroom Needs A Vanity

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When faced with a small bathroom, a vanity can seem like a necessary evil, especially when you want to add a steam shower and whirlpool tub. A vanity is necessary because all of those items, like razors, soap, hair clips …, need to be stored in the bathroom. The problem is that the vanity can often take up a lot of valuable space in an already small bathroom.

Small Bathroom Vanity

Small Bathroom Vanity

But, there is a way to have a vanity that’s useful and beautiful, and that doesn’t take up an unnecessary amount of space.

Floating vanities can be installed at any height that’s convenient to you. They lend a visually uncluttered look to the bathroom because they sit up and off the floor. They also allow for better air circulation. If you have children, you can store the step stool underneath the vanity.

Compact, well-designed vanities often come equipped with drawer and shelf organizers. These vanities are available in any style that suits your decor. Opt for a modern or traditional look or go for a stone countertop and natural wood construction.

Clutter is really the enemy of design. The vanity ensures that everything that must live in the bathroom has a place. Say good-bye to loose items perched precariously on the sink. With the right vanity, you won’t have to walk back and forth from the bathroom to the bedroom to get what you need. There is a vanity out there that will solve those problems and make your bathroom functional, airy, and beautiful.

 

Contributed by: Aaron Gruenke writer and foremost expert in bathroom design.

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Ballot of the Rich and Famous

The new Hall of Fame ballot is out:

The candidates, in alphabetical order, for the Class of 2018:

Barry Bonds
Chris Carpenter
Roger Clemens
Johnny Damon
Vladimir Guerrero
Livan Hernandez
Trevor Hoffman
Orlando Hudson
Aubrey Huff
Jason Isringhausen
Andruw Jones
Chipper Jones
Jeff Kent
Carlos Lee
Brad Lidge
Edgar Martinez
Hideki Matsui
Fred McGriff
Kevin Millwood
Jamie Moyer
Mike Mussina
Manny Ramirez
Scott Rolen
Johan Santana
Curt Schilling
Gary Sheffield
Sammy Sosa
Jim Thome
Omar Vizquel
Billy Wagner
Larry Walker

That’s a tough ballot with lots of deserving players. There are at least 13 players on the ballot I would consider checking off as worthy. In reality, the steroid people won’t get in, but we will see if the dam is breached for designated hitters and closers.



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How Many Times Are We Going To Have This Discussion?

Sales is an interesting function, we seem to be caught in a perpetual “deja vu” or one of those scenes in the movie “Ground Hog Day.”

Having been involved in professional selling for most of my career, I’m at the point where I hear the same conversations all over again, and again, and again.

You know the conversations I’m talking about:

  • We have to stop pitching, start listening…..
  • We have to be customer focused……
  • We have to be account focused…..
  • We have to create value and provide insight……
  • We have to focus on our customers’ problems and provide insights….
  • We have to segment and target our messages and sales efforts….
  • We have to use our sales process……
  • We need to get people to use the tools…..
  • We have to plan and prepare for our sales calls….
  • We have to prospect……
  • We have to manage our time more effectively…..
  • We have to coach and develop our people……

I could go on and on, but you get the point.  It seems we go in always repeating the same conversations and cycles.  Each time, we seem to invent a new vocabulary or overlay it with a new technology.  We’ve gone from consultative, to solution, to customer centric, to customer focused, to solution (again), to challenger, to insight, to account based.  We’ve gone from door to door, to direct mail, to telephone, to email, to messaging, to mobile, to digital/web enabled, to AI, to…

Innovation seems, primarily, to be based on applying a new vocabulary and technology to the same old concepts and problems.

Ironically, we don’t seem to improve or change things.

Customers are saying the same things about why they don’t like sales people.  Performance actually isn’t getting better, it seems to get worse.

At some point, one begins to think this is madness.

Recently, I was speaking to a few colleagues, like me, they’ve been around the block a few times.  We reflected on other functions or professions, including engineering, development, manufacturing, research, engineering, finance, etc.  While they tend to face the same type of problems they always have–how to innovate, how to reduce product design cycles, how to improve quality, how to improve manufacturing process, how to reduce cost, the nature of these problems is very different than they were in the past.  Somehow, it seems the state of their professions has advanced far more than sales.

For example, engineering and development have moved far beyond drafting boards and slide rules.  Lean/agile is standard practice in manufacturing.

It seems the state of their practice has progressed much further than the state of practice in sales.  The conversations are different, yes they have problems, but they aren’t talking about the same problems and same stale solutions they applied 5, 10, 15, 20, 30 years ago.

What is it about selling that is different?  Why are we talking about the same things we have been talking about for decades, yet making no progress?  Why are we reliving the exact same issues year after year, decade after decade?  What keeps us from making substantive progress in our profession?

Without a doubt, our jobs have changed, but more driven by changes in our customers and how they buy, less so in changes and innovations driven by sales.  Technology has enabled new things, new ways of buying and enables us to create value in new and different ways–but we struggle to leverage these effectively.

I’m really interested in a conversation on this.  What is it, that causes sales to be trapped in the same conundrum, are we destined to live the same cycle year after year, or can we change?

What are your thoughts?

 

 



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The Pros of WAR

Dave Cameron responds to the Bill James criticism of WAR:

For the MVP voting, perhaps WAR is less useful than James would like it to be. On that point, I agree, and I used other metrics when filling out my MVP ballot when I was assigned to be a voter. But for many cases, the questions people are attempting to answer by using WAR are better answered by a context-neutral metric. It might not answer those questions perfectly, but it at least aligns with the questions about which fans are curious.

Is there a place for a context-dependent version of WAR? Perhaps. But then again, we’re already accused of undermining the model’s credibility by having multiple popular methods of calculation. And as James himself found when developing Win Shares, tying individual player performance to team wins isn’t quite as easy as one might hope.

I have no problem admitting that WAR as a model contains a number of flaws, or that our specific implementation of the framework is also flawed. There are a lot of areas for improvement. Forcing it to account precisely for the exact number of wins with which each team finished, though, would probably make it less useful overall as a measure of individual performance.

This quite reminds me of arguments between my mother and father, in that they argued topics upon which they agreed. They were really arguing about how to properly express that agreement. If I may be so bold as to summarize the argument/agreement:

  • James: WAR is good for future evaluation, but does a poor job of capturing the actual value of a player for an MVP vote. Win Shares is better for this as it captures context.
  • Cameron: WAR is context neutral, so use other measures in addition when casting an MVP vote. Creating a single number that combines value and context is tough. Win Shares only includes situational context for the batter, not context created by the batter.

In general, I like having multiple measures of player quality. Often, the aggregate of different measures is better than the results of the best measure. So we should be happy we have different versions of WAR, and Win Shares on top of that.



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Sunday, November 19, 2017

Kapler as Manager

Via BBTF, players discuss Gabe Kapler‘s one-year managing in the minors.

Start in the weight room because everyone from the 2007 Greenville Drive has a Gabe Kapler workout story. Like the time they were on the road, maybe in Hickory, N.C., and Kapler joined a pregame session with his players. The manager grabbed a 50-pound dumbbell, outfielder Matt Sheely said, and put it between his legs.

“We sat there and counted,” Sheely said. “He did 50 pull-ups with a 50-pound dumbbell between his legs. We were all like, ‘Holy crap.’ I don’t care who you are. Oh my goodness.”

Or when Still, a fourth-round pick who was 6-foot-2 and 210 pounds, realized his manager had topped him.

“I thought I was lifting a bunch of weights,” Still said. “I look over and, of course, Kapler is curling 20 more pounds than I was on each arm. Wow, that’s pretty embarrassing when the manager is in better shape than you are.”

Based on that, I suspect every Phillies player will be in the actual best shape of his life when the season starts. It’s a fascinating read, as Kapler appeared to successfully combine intensity with a connection to his players.



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Saturday, November 18, 2017

Extra Rates

I was curious to see if triples were continuing to disappear from the game, but thought it would be good to look at the rates of all three types of extra-base hits over time. This spreadsheet contains a graph of extra-base hit rates per game since 1957 (the period covered by the Day by Day Database). The moving average is based on four seasons.

First, triples do continue to disappear. After making a comeback in the 1970s, triples have declined in every decade since. Triples are comparable to one-run strategies like stealing bases or bunting to move runners. Taking an extra base is worth the risk of an out when runs are scarce.

Note that doubles and home runs tend to move in tandem, although from season to season, home runs tend to spike more than doubles. During the 1980s, for example, the doubles tend is fairly flat while the home run trend shows a nice hump.

Note two that the end of the PED era* saw a shift from home runs to doubles, as the two-base hit took longer to go into decline. Maybe balls that would have cleared the fence earlier became wall scrapers.

*That is a convenient name for the era. There were trends in ballpark construction, valuing hitters over pitchers, maybe even changes in the baseball that contributed to the rise in home runs.

Right now, the double rate is not really following the big spike in the home run rate. Players are hitting more doubles, but not a lot more doubles. Home runs blew past the 2000 season peak, while doubles have not approached the 2007 peak.



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James Against WAR

Bill James uses Jose Altuve and Aaron Judge to demonstrate a flaw in WAR for rating the win value of players in a given season:

We reach, then, the key question in this debate: is it appropriate, in assigning the individual player credit for wins, to do so based on the usual and normal relationship of runs to wins, or based on the actual and specific relationship for this player and this team?

I have been silent on this issue for more than 20 years, and let me explain why. In the 1990s I developed Win Shares, while younger analysts developed WAR. At that time it was my policy not to argue with younger analysts. I was much more well-known, at that time, than they were, and it’s a one-way street. When you are at the top of a profession, you don’t speak ill of those who coming along behind you. It’s petty, and it’s just not done. Some of those people did take pot shots at me and some didn’t, but. . .well, it’s a one-way street. I’ve got mine; I’m not pulling up the ladder behind me.

But that was a long time ago. We’re not there anymore. WAR is not an upstart statistic; it is the dominant statistic. We can debate its merits on an equal footing.

This is an important article. The quick summary is that WAR is good for predicting future performance, but not judging the value of a player in a given season.



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New Ideas Don’t Have To Be “New”

We constantly struggle with innovation and insight,  whether it’s for our own organization or our work with customers.

To be honest, I think we make innovation and insight far too complicated.

I don’t know how many “innovation” session I see organizations conducting.  Usually, it’s a group of people sitting in a circle.   Perhaps they are surrounded by white boards, there are pads of different color “Post-Its.”  There may be a facilitator taking the group through a number of “mind-freeing” exercises.  Inevitably, they struggle.  The groups stare at each other, toss out some ideas, but struggle with really new ideas.

Likewise, we struggle with “how do we provide insights to our customers?”  We do research, we assemble groups, we try to discover new perspectives that might catch our customers’ interests.  But often we struggle in developing insights.

Part of the problem is our approach to innovating and developing insights.

We do it through some sort of groupthink process, perhaps getting our best sales people together, or getting marketing/product management together to come up with new ideas.

The problem is, we are all prisoners of our own experience.

If our source of ideas is from a group that has the same shared experiences, it’s virtually impossible to come up with something new.  Too often, it’s just a repackaging of the same old stuff, perhaps with newer/cooler words, a veneer of technology, or just better graphics.  But we really haven’t innovated.

It’s similar with insights, our perspectives are limited by our experience and those of our customers.  When we look at similar things over and over, we are blind to those things we don’t look for.

In addition to being prisoners of our own experiences, I think our concept of innovation and insight may limit us.  Too often, we think it has to be something “new.”  Perhaps, not solving world peace or world hunger, but at least in our domains something brand new.

In reality, I think much innovation and insight doesn’t really have to be new, it just has to be new to us or our customers.  Something we’ve never seen or considered before.

If we’re doing our jobs right, if we are researching our customers and their markets, of we are looking at competition, it becomes very difficult for us to see something new.  Copying our competitors is not innovation, it’s just following.

So how do we make innovation simpler?

We have to look in different places, we have to source our ideas from areas we’ve never looked at before.

It can be as simple as looking in different places in our own organization.  Perhaps, it’s sales and marketing looking at engineering and manufacturing, seeing if there are ideas, methods, and approaches we can learn and adapt to what we do.  (I happen to believe there are huge lessons sales can learn from these areas–here’s a series of articles on that)

Or maybe it’s looking in completely different disciplines or markets.

Some years ago, we ran an innovation workshop with a couple of clients.  One client was a giant in sophisticated electronic components, the other was a fashion company, specialized in motorcycle apparel.  On one side of the table were a row of people in powder blue shirts and khaki’s, on the other were people in leathers, full sleeves of tattoos, gang colors, and the visible piercings were in very interesting places.

As we started, both groups looked at each other, then they looked at me.  The same look was on each person’s face, “WTF???”

After a bit of a rocky start, they really started engaging each other and learning.  The electronic components people started seeing things the motorcycle people were doing.  While they were old and, perhaps, stale in the motorcycle industry, adapted to electronic components, they were new and innovative.  Likewise, the motorcycle people were discovering things the electronic components people were doing, tweaking them to work in their industries and markets.

None of the ideas were new, but they were new to each group.  They could be tweaked and adapted to each different industry/market segment.

Likewise, look at wildly different disciplines.

Recently, I was talking to a nephew.  He’s getting his PhD in Microbiology from Harvard (says the proud uncle).  We started talking about his research, which involves mice, rats, and insects. As we discussed what he was doing, what he was trying to learn, I started seeing some ideas that could be interesting to explore in business.  I would never have thought of these, but for that 30 minute discussion at the breakfast table.

Again, the ideas weren’t new, they were just new to me.

As we look at some of the “break through” innovations we read about all the time, for example SaaS, the Cloud, even Smartphones, Uber, AirBnB, much of it is really not new, but artful synthesis of ideas from a variety of other disciplines and markets, packaged in a way that is new and innovative for our markets and customers.  For example, the concept of subscription based software is an adaptation from newspapers, magazines, and media.  Cloud existed as timesharing decades ago, but has been made more powerful by innovations in networks and software development.

Innovation and insight don’t have to be that difficult.  We just have to look in new places, taking ideas and methods, adapting and tweaking them for our markets and customers.

 



from Partners in EXCELLENCE Blog — Making A Difference http://ift.tt/2zTcPnk

Friday, November 17, 2017

I Left My Hart

John Hart resigned from the Braves Friday:

John Hart left the Atlanta Braves on Friday, less than a week after being stripped of his role as president of baseball operations.

The decision was not unexpected given the hiring of general manager Alex Anthopoulos, who is now in charge of all baseball-related decisions. Hart was bumped to the role of senior adviser, but clearly had no real power.

The situation in Atlanta is messy, and while Hart may not have known about the rule breaking, the buck stopped with him. He was given a push out the door, and decided to take the hint and leave. Will another team hire him? I suspect the result of the MLB investigation into the Braves front office will weigh heavily on that decision.



from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2hHXTnE

Stop Reading (Just) Sales Books!

Reading is important to our professional development and growth (not to mention the scientific evidence of how it improves our cognitive capabilities).  Far too few business and sales professional actively read as part of their personal and professional growth.  (Perhaps, that’s part of the reason we consistently see the stunningly poor data on results.)

Every week, however, it’s gratifying to talk to sales people and executives who’ve made reading part of their daily professional development.  It’s not just blogs or trade magazines, they are actively reading books, doing deep dives into their own professional development.

I love learning what they are reading, partly to help me identify books I need to read.  (By the way, I’m super thankful when they list Sales Manager Survival Guide as a book they’ve read and value.)  But I get concerned when I hear they are just reading books on selling if they are sales professionals, or marketing if they are marketing, or leadership…

Don’t get me wrong, there are a lot of very good books on each of these topics.  But, to be honest, it’s hard to make big break through’s in your own professional development if you just read books from the same genre.  Honestly, most of the books offer different perspectives, new data, and different ways to think about the same ideas.  They are valuable, they help us think about different approaches, perhaps incorporating some into our own work.  But it’s hard to get real innovation or new ideas.

We won’t find the break through’s we need by reading the same subject matter, we have to look more broadly to find ideas in other disciplines or subjects, figuring out how we can adapt them to what we do.

Recently, this lesson was vividly reinforced in a conversation with a client.  I walked into their offices.  Normally, I turn right heading to the executive offices or the sales/marketing teams.  On this particular morning, I turned left (I think it was because the coffee machines are on the left side on this particular floor at the customer).

As I was walking through the open workspace, the EVP of Operations saw me and yelled, “Dave, I need to talk to you!”  I knew Peter from having participated in executive meetings, but he and I had never had much more than passing interactions.  The client is a construction company, and Peter is responsible for the construction of $100’s of millions of buildings.

Peter started walking to me and I noticed he had a copy of my book in his hand.  “Dave, I wanted to talk to you about some of the ideas in your book….”

I was a little startled, “Peter, I’m very flattered that you are reading my book, but why?”

You could probably guess his response, “Dave, I’m reading it, because there are some good ideas that I can adapt to what we are doing in operations.  I want to learn how we can leverage them to improve our own performance.”  We had a 90 minute conversation about a lot of the things I had written in Sales Manager Survival Guide, exploring how they could be tweaked to help his organization be more effective (He also gave me a lot of new ideas–at least new to me).  At the end of our meeting, I asked him what other books he was reading and managed to add a number to my own reading list (many that I never would have thought of–or that Amazon would never have recommended.

At the moment, I’m reading Walter Isaacson’s Leonardo Da Vinci.  One of the things I’m learning about Leonardo Da Vinci’s genius was his insatiable curiosity about a wide range of topics, whether it was anatomy, geometry, astronomy, engineering, how light works, materials, drama, music…. Leonardo was constantly learning about the widest array of topics, incorporating what he learned into what he was doing at the time, whether painting, staging a play, designing a machine.  In everything he did, he blurred the lines between disciplines, incorporating ideas from many into each project.  Part of his genius was even blurring the boundaries between fantasy and reality.

I believe our greatest source of ideas and innovation in sales (or whatever function you choose), comes from outside our discipline.  I believe the break through ideas come from the artful adaptations of ideas in other fields to what we do, I’ve coined the phrase, artful plagiarism.

Don’t stop reading books on sales, but make the majority of what you read something outside your professional interests.  Study those books, thinking, “How can I take these ideas and apply them to what I do?”

 



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