FanGraphs notes that Todd Frazier‘s low contract in part comes with signing late in the free agent season:
Max Rieper of Royals Review found that, from 2013 to -17, free agents who signed before Jan. 1 received guaranteed dollars 4.0% above FanGraphs’ crowdsourced estimates. Free agents who signed after Jan. 1, meanwhile, received 25.3% less than FanGraphs’ estimates. This makes sense: anxiety theoretically increases for players, and demand drops, as spring training nears.
Frazier signed for 40.4% fewer dollars than the crowd’s forecast. He appears to have lowered his demands in order to ensure employment in 2018 and 2019. Frazier’s contract should be sobering for those free agents still holding out hope that their initial contract demands will be met less than two weeks before the beginning of spring games.
I’m waiting to see if this leads to a cascade of signings.
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2E6lhRu
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