Sunday, October 23, 2016

How Long Will the Series Go?

As an addendum to the previous post, here are the probabilities of each type of series outcome, based on the Cubs having a .614 probability of winning any individual game.

2016 World Series Outcome Probabilities
Outcome of Series Probability of Outcome
Cubs Sweep 0.142
Cubs in Five 0.219
Cubs in Six 0.212
Cubs in Seven 0.163
Indians in Seven 0.103
Indians in Six 0.084
Indians in Five 0.055
Indians Sweep 0.022

The highest probability of a Cubs win in five games. For the Indians, their best chance comes in seven games.



from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2ek360L

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