The 2017 series on team offense continues with the Houston Astros. The Astros finished eighth in the American League and fifteenth in the majors in 2016 with 4.47 runs scored per game.
I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That A.J. Hinch order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
Best lineup: 5.17
Probable lineup: 5.12
Worst lineup: 4.86
Regressed lineup: 4.65
Yeah, baby!
The Astros have a stacked lineup, with a nice balance of youth, veterans, and youthful veterans. Hinch gets the eight and nine hitters right, batting his weakest player, Yulieski Gurriel eighth, and Norichika Aoki, a second lead-off hitter, ninth. The LAT likes Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa at the top of the order, but also uses George Springer as one of the top people in that slot. What is clear from the top 20 lineups is that most of these players can be moved around the order making very little difference. In the end, the proposed lineup would only generate eight fewer runs that the optimum over a full season. That’s nothing.
It should be an exciting offensive season in Houston.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.
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Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction
- Boston Red Sox
- Colorado Rockies
- Chicago Cubs
- Cleveland Indians
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Seattle Mariners
- Texas Rangers
- Washington Nationals
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Detroit Tigers
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Baltimore Orioles
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- Los Angeles Dodgers
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