Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Team Offense, Minnesota Twins

The 2017 series on team offense continues with the Minnesota Twins. The Twins finished ninth in the American League and sixteenth in the majors in 2016 with 4.46 runs scored per game.

I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Paul Molitor order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):

Best lineup: 4.84
Probable lineup: 4.76
Worst lineup: 4.57
Regressed lineup: 4.41

I like this Twins lineup. I would flip Brian Dozier and Jorge Polanco in the 1-2 slots, but otherwise it makes sense. The best OBPs are at the top of the order, and there is some power behind them to drive in runs. A number of the hitters are still building toward their prime years, so don’t be surprised to see some improvement beyond the Marcel projections.

I am intrigued by the LAT batting Joe Mauer ninth. Mauer is the oldest player on the team, and his power vanished over the last few years. He is a weak hitter with the ability to get on base at a good, but not great, clip. He really is the perfect number nine hitter for an American League team. His veteran status and team leadership position will preclude him batting that far down, but it’s a really good idea.

Twins fans should expect an improved offense in 2017.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

Help support this series and the LAT by donating to the Baseball Musings Pledge Drive.

Previous posts in this series:



from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2nsNh9Y

No comments:

Post a Comment