Tuesday, February 23, 2016

How Much for Bautista

I was going to take a victory lap for nailing Jose Bautista‘s request for an extension. Yesterday I wrote:

He’s making $14 million this season, and the extension he signed in 2011 averaged about $13 million a year, so he probably gave the Blue Jays a residual value of about $130 million. I’m guessing he would be worth around $150 million for five years on the free agent market. I would not be surprised if he asked for something very close to that.

Then today I saw:

Toronto Blue Jays’ all-star outfielder Jose Bautista is demanding a five-year contract extension worth more than $30 million per year, two sources familiar with the matter told TSN.

Bautista turns 36 in October and a $150-million contract, were he able to secure it, would make him among baseball’s top-paid players.

Bautista denied that report, however. So much for the victory lap.

False! Who’s to say, of course. This could be false posturing on the part of Bautista or on the part of what’s very likely the team source who leaked the figure in the first place. It’s all a negotiation, and sometimes the negotiation is done in public. For now, though, Joey Bats isn’t copping to that reported opening offer.

Maybe we’ll find out someday this size of his price tag. FanGraphs has a take on Bautista’s value over the next five or six years. They drop his projected WAR at a higher rate than I do due to Bautista’s age. That’s probably right, but Bautista aged very well so far.



from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/1T5jvoG

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