Baseball Prospectus released their PECOTA projections, with the Indians and Rays predicted to win the most games in the American League. The Dodgers and Cubs top the NL standings. Only 20 games separate the top AL team, the Indians (92 wins), from the Orioles at the bottom (72 wins). That matches my gut feeling that the AL is basically up for grabs, with no great team and no horrible team. Randomness likely means it won’t play out that way, but it really does look like every team has a shot.
Twenty-nine wins separate the Dodgers (94 wins) from the Phillies at the bottom (65 wins). That’s not so bad, however, as the Braves (68 wins) are the only other non-competitve team.
A Cubs-Indians World Series would be great, as one of the teams would be guaranteed to break a long championship drought. A Dodgers-Rays series would be just as much fun, with the old Tampa Bay front office taking on the the new one.
Once again, PECOTA does not like the Royals. There certainly seems to be an element to that team that we’re missing.
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/1Vlhjqu
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