The big difference between the Cubs in the regular season and the Cubs in the NLCS is their BABIP. During the regular season the Cubs posted a .302 BABIP, which was league average for the NL. As a team, there was nothing special about their balls in play finding holes. The Cubs put a ton of batters on base via walks, and were good at collecting extra base hits, so the balls that found holes tended to do damaage.
In the NLCS, the Cubs hold a .197 BABIP. Note that they struck out 25 times in the three games, 8.3 per game. That very close to their 8.2 K per game during the regular season. In other words, they are getting the bat on the ball as often as usual, but the batted balls are not finding holes.
How much of this is luck, how much of this is the Dodgers pitching staff inducing poor contact, and how much is it the Dodgers doing a great job of positioning their fielders? The Cubs need to regress to their mean fairly quickly to take the series back to Chicago.
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2dzG98S
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