The Nationals and the Dodgers play a quick coast-to-coast turnaround as they kick off at 1 PM PDT with Gio Gonzlaez facing Kenta Maeda. I’ve been hearing that the Dodgers have problems with left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers went 22-24 when an LHP started against them. That’s pretty good considering how terrible they hit LHP, .213/.290/.332 versus .264/.331/.441 against righties. The Dodgers did not hit Gonzalez this season, going 3 for 20. Maeda pitches a bit better at Dodger Stadium, with a lower ERA. That is not due to his three-true outcomes, which are a bit better on the road. It’s a timing issue, as he allows a .333/.400/.611 slash line with runners in scoring position on the road, .250/.342/.359 at home.
The hit streak neural network picks Daniel Murphy as most likely to get a hit for the Nationals in the game, and Corey Seager most likely for the Dodgers.
At 6 PM EDT, the first elimination game of the LDS takes place as the Indians invade Fenway to try to send the Red Sox home for the winter. Josh Tomlin takes on Clay Buchholz. Tomlin pitches to contact, walking just 20 batters and striking out 118 in 174 innings during the regular season. Among ERA qualifers (162 IP), Tomlin induced contact 80.6% of the time, highest in the majors. Given that the Red Sox are both selective and high average hitters, this should be a good match-up for the Boston offense. Buchholz turned his season around late. He owned a 5.91 ERA through the All-Star break, allowing 17 home runs in 80 2/3 innings. Since, he allowed just four home runs in 58 2/3 innings, good for a 3.22 ERA.
Mookie Betts is the most likely player to get a hit for the Red Sox, and most likely among all players in action today. Francisco Lindor is most likely for the Indians.
The epic battle of the year takes place in San Francisco as the Cubs go for a sweep of the Giants. Jake Arrieta takes on Mr. Elimination Game, Madison Bumgarner. Arrieta pitched a great game in the Wild Card round in 2015, then fell off in the LDS and LCS. He gave up eight runs in 10 2/3 innings against the Cardinals and the Mets. Bumgarner has never allowed a run in an elimination game. Overall, he stands at 8-3 in the post-season with a 1.94 ERA. He allowed just 67 hits in 97 1/3 innings.
Buster Posey is most likely to get a hit for the Giants, while Kris Bryant fills that role for the Cubs. Note that Posey’s probability is .653, Bryant at .652. The other four batters are all over .700.
Enjoy!
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2dWsEOV
No comments:
Post a Comment