Cambie62 By GD Omni

GD Omni introduce their new development Cambie62 located on the corner of Cambie and 62nd. This 6 storey concrete development will have 27 units consisting of 1 and 2 bedroom condos. Situated within walking distance is the lovely Langara Golf Course and Winora Park.

Floor Plans for Cambie62

Floor plans have yet to be finalized.

Pricing for Cambie62

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Cambie + 31st – New Luxury Cambie Corridor Development by Cressey

 

Coming soon to the very popular Cambie corridor is a stunning concrete development by Cressey. This spectacular project will consist of two six storey buildings located opposite the amazing Queen Elizabeth Park.

There will be 65 units consisting of 26 – 1 beds, 27 – 2 beds and 12 – 3 beds. Cressey develop quality products and we can expect to see top class finishes throughout each unit.

Floor Plans for Cambie + 31st

Floor plans have yet to be finalized.

Pricing for Cambie + 31st

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Wilmar Residences Vancouver – Redevelopment Project

Vancouver’s stunning Wilmar Residence located on a 1.95-acre site is going to be redeveloped and will consist of a full renovation of the current mansion along with 5 luxury single family homes.

Each of the 5 units will range in sizes from 3,600-3,800 sqft. The main mansion will be converted into a duplex and will consist of one 4,500 sqft home and one 5,200 sqft home.

Floor Plans for Wilmar Residences

Floor plans have yet to be finalized.

Pricing for Wilmar Residences

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Willow – A Boutique Townhome Development By Coromandel

Coromandel Introduces a new townhouse development called Willow. This development will consist of 20 3-storey townhomes ranging in size from 1,279 – 1,416 sqft. Each townhome will have 3 bedrooms and come with its own private landscaped patio.

Floor Plans for Willow

Floor plans have yet to be finalized.

Pricing for Willow

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The Mets and Injuries

I have to agree with Mike Vaccaro on how the Mets should have handled Noah Syndergaard:

But it’s clear in retrospect that Alderson should have been the grownup in this situation, informed Syndergaard: “It’s that the MRI tube or the disabled list. Your choice.”

It’s hard to believe the GM wouldn’t have won in the court of public opinion on that one, and it would have sent a message that the Mets are done with their ages-old habit of tinkering with injuries that almost always — and we’re being generous adding the “almost” — cause maximum trouble.

Once upon a time Matt Harvey thought he knew better than the Mets brass and their doctors, too, and once upon a time it was Harvey who sat where Syndergaard now sits — king of the hill, top of the heap, impervious to the wishes of his bosses. Harvey paid a hard price for that hubris, and the humbler version of No. 33 that inhabits the Mets clubhouse now is proof of that.

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Drawing the Obstruction Call

With the Rockies and Diamondbacks scoreless in the bottom of the tenth inning, A.J. Pollock hits a one-out, pinch-hit, single. David Peralta appears to single him to third, but after the umpires huddle, Pollock is called out on obstruction of Rockies second baseman D.J. LeMahieu. It is a judgement call and cannot be reviewed, but the replay shown on the Arizona broadcast showed LeMahieu initiating the contact when he was not near the ball. In other words, it looks like LeMahieu knew he couldn’t get the ball, and pulled the equivalent of an NBA flop. The Diamondbacks don’t score in the inning and the teams go to 11.

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Day of the Rendon

Anthony Rendon goes six for six with three home runs as the Nationals destroy the Mets 23-5. Rendon drove in a franchise record ten runs, and the team also set a franchise record for runs scored. Rendon’s feat was very rare:

Washington Nationals third baseman Anthony Rendon went 6-for-6 with three home runs and 10 RBIs on Sunday against the New York Mets, becoming just the second player in Major League Baseball history to have a game that included six hits, three home runs and 10 RBIs.

Walker Cooper is the other player. He went 6-for-7 in the game he had three home runs and 10 RBIs for the Cincinnati Reds against the Chicago Cubs on July 6, 1949.

So it happens once in lifetime.

Rendon is another reason I would not be too worried about the Nationals losing Adam Eaton. He got off to a very slow start, with a .226/.316/.250 slash line coming into the game, with no home runs and just five RBI. He’s a good hitter who was likely hampered by a late spring training injury. If he’s getting healthy, the Nats have another great bat in the lineup.

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Gomez’s Cycle

Carlos Gomez hit for the second cycle of his career Saturday:

Gomez sent Jose Valdez‘s first-pitch heater onto the hill beyond center field. That followed a first-inning double, a single in the third and a triple to the gap in right-center in the fifth that sailed just beyond the reach of a sprinting Mike Trout. Two-run homers by Gomez and Rougned Odor backed the performance of Yu Darvish, who threw 125 pitches in six innings, as the Rangers beat the Los Angeles Angels 6-3.

“It’s exciting up there if you do that,” Gomez said, “and you can enjoy it when you win.”
His previous cycle came with the Minnesota Twins on May 7, 2008.

I guess cycles don’t carry that much cache anymore, because I didn’t see it mentioned until I went pretty far back in my news feed.

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Not 100%

Noah Syndergaard gives up five runs in the first inning as Washington is up 5-2 in the bottom of the second. Syndergaard stays in the game after giving up five hits and two walks. It seems to me he wasn’t as ready to go as he thought he was.

Update: Syndergaard comes out in the middle of facing Bryce Harper in the second inning. I rolled the game back, and on the final two pitches to Harper he grabbed under his armpit. The first time no one noticed. The second time he was obviously in pain. This is not going to go over well for the Mets.

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Games of the Day

The Orioles try to regain a tie for first play in the AL East as Wade Miley faces the Yankees and Jordan Montgomery. Miley, for the first time in his career, is striking out more batters than innings pitched. He appears to have abandoned the change up in favor of a two-seam fastball. (The two-seamer is the theme of day.) Montgomery gives up hits despite a high strikeout rate.

Mike Foltynewicz takes on Matt Garza as the Braves battle the Brewers. Foltynewicz has yet to win in 2017 despite a good ERA. He walked a high number of batters, but most of those came with men on base, so he may be effectively pitching around hitters. Garza makes his second start of the season after recovering from an injury. Despite putting seven men on in four innings during his first start, he allowed just one run.

Oakland tries to close the gap a little more on Houston as Jesse Hahn faces Dallas Keuchel. Hahn brought his home runs under control this season. In 2016, he allowed eight long balls in 46 1/3 innings. So far in 2017, he allowed one in 26 innings. Keuchel tries to finish April nearly unhittable. He allowed five runs so far this season, and four of them came on solo home runs.

Enjoy!

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Seamstress

Catcher Nick Hundley fixed Matt Cain‘s seams. Hundley noticed great movement on Cain’s two-seam fastball and ordered Cain to throw it as his main fastball:

Cain explained that he rarely relied on the two-seam fastball, which has movement and sink, because his power four-seam fastball had natural run. But after returning from his various arm injuries, Cain left a lot of those four-seamers over the plate, and they got crushed.

When Cain was dominant, his four-seam fastball stayed up in the zone, and hitters would get under it. That allowed Cain to be a pitcher who induced lots of fly balls without giving up very many home runs. Fly balls that don’t leave the park often come down in a fielder’s glove. That doesn’t work any more, so now batters will need to learn a new looks to Cain’s fastball.

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Eaton Done

In one race to first, the Adam Eaton trade went from great to terrible:

Adam Eaton will miss the rest of the 2017 season with a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his left knee, a person familiar with the situation confirmed Saturday. Eaton injured the knee lunging for first base in Friday night’s loss to the New York Mets, a fluke play that now leaves the Washington Nationals without the leadoff man and center fielder for whom they surrendered three top prospects this winter.

Eaton was hitting .297 at the time of his injury, but he served a purpose beyond statistics for a deep and experienced lineup that did not need above-and-beyond production. The 28-year-old emerged as a spark at the top of the Nationals’ order, good enough in the leadoff spot to allow Trea Turner to hit second and the Nationals to alternate lefty-righty-lefty through the top and heart of their lineup. He also provided a relentless energy, the kind of edge and hustle with which Nationals General Manager Mike Rizzo has tried to infuse the roster over the last two years. Fox Sports first reported the news of Eaton’s diagnosis.

It’s a very tough loss for the team. Eaton was a player who took an extremely good team to world beater. The Nationals will still be favored to win the NL East without him, but they are a little less elite.

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How to Blow a Save

Hector Neris blew a save for the Phillies is style Saturday night. He came into the game to start the ninth inning with a 5-2 lead over the Dodgers, the easiest save situation possible. The first three batters hit home runs, Yasiel Puig, Cody Bellinger, and pinch-hitter Justin Turner. After recording an out, he allowed a single, came out of the game, but that runner came around to score as Neris gets the blown save an the loss. It was quite a comeback for the Dodgers, who win the game 6-5.

Neris is in pretty select company. I found 13 instances of relief pitchers giving up three home runs in the ninth inning when they had the lead since 1974. Three of those occurrences happened since the middle of last season. On July 24, 2016, Dave Robertson blew a save against the Tigers but won the game. The home runs were not consecutive. Then on Sept 6, Tony Watson of the Pirates came into the game against the Cardinals with a one run lead, got two outs, the gave up a home run, a home run, a double, and a home run to send the Pirates to defeat. The big fly blown save is back.

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Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I recently update the models, and the results of those tests are here.

For 2017, I am just going to publish the Log5 hit averages and the NN probabilities with parks factored in. I am keeping track of the results here.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.316 — Jean Segura batting against Josh Tomlin
0.309 — Buster Posey batting against Clayton Richard
0.306 — Avisail Garcia batting against Jordan Zimmermann
0.300 — Daniel Murphy batting against Noah Syndergaard
0.299 — Brandon Phillips batting against Matt Garza
0.298 — Eduardo Nunez batting against Clayton Richard
0.298 — Nelson Cruz batting against Josh Tomlin
0.297 — Hunter Pence batting against Clayton Richard
0.297 — Kelby Tomlinson batting against Clayton Richard
0.297 — Michael Trout batting against Martin Perez

This is a bit of a different list than usually pops up. Segura is a very good pick, but he was on the disabled list for a while so he wasn’t included. The Giants against Clayton Richard provide the chance for a lot of offense. The inclusion of Mike Trout and Nelson Cruz is interesting, as their type of power hitter usually walks to much to have a high chance of a hit.

The NN produces this list:

0.300, 0.741 — Daniel Murphy batting against Noah Syndergaard.
0.316, 0.731 — Jean Segura batting against Josh Tomlin.
0.299, 0.729 — Brandon Phillips batting against Matt Garza.
0.296, 0.724 — Charles Blackmon batting against Patrick Corbin.
0.293, 0.722 — A.J. Pollock batting against German Marquez.
0.289, 0.721 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Patrick Corbin.
0.309, 0.719 — Buster Posey batting against Clayton Richard.
0.282, 0.717 — Trea Turner batting against Noah Syndergaard.
0.289, 0.712 — David Peralta batting against German Marquez.
0.297, 0.710 — Michael Trout batting against Martin Perez.

Once again, Murphy rises to the top of the NN list. His .302 weighted three-year hit average is tough to beat. Note that Trout makes the list because he’s not walking as much this season, just 12 times in the month of April as compare to 116 times in 2016. So his regressed 2017 hit average is about 10 points higher than his three-year weighted average. That seems to be enough to propel him into the top ten. He’s trading walks for hits, which keeps his OBP high and makes him more dangerous. Jean Segura is the consensus pick. Remember, even your best pick will fail to get a hit about 25% of the time. If you look at the spreadsheet linked above, you can see the top pick of the NN is right on, with 19 games with a hit expected and 19 games with a hit delivered.

Here is the list of players with the most PA since their last hit:

Batter	PA since Last Hit
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	23
Raul Mondesi	20
Sandy Leon	20
JaCoby Jones	19
Brad Miller	18
Jesus Aguilar	17
Michael Freeman	16
Carlos Ruiz	15
Chris Gimenez	15
Jaff Decker	14
Rene Rivera	14
Cristhian Adames	14
Matt Davidson	14
Nick Hundley	14
Ivan Nova	13
Carlos Santana	13
Ryan Goins	13
Jose Iglesias	13
Kyle Higashioka	12
Antonio Senzatela	12
Brandon Guyer	12
Jhonny Peralta	12
Leonys Martin	12
Clayton Kershaw	11
Starling Marte	11
Johnny Cueto	11
Jose Lobaton	11
Yasmani Grandal	11
Jimmy Nelson	11
Lucas Duda	11
Jon Lester	11
Jaime Garcia	11
Danny Espinosa	11
Matt Harvey	11
Patrick Corbin	10
Taylor Motter	10
Greg Bird	10
Gerardo Parra	10
Stephen Strasburg	10
Jeff Samardzija	10
Scott Feldman	10
Max Scherzer	10
Kendrys Morales	10
Jorge Polanco	10
Hunter Renfroe	10

Good luck!

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Sunday Update

The Day by Day Database is up to date.

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No Nukes

Noah Syndergaard refused to undergo a Nuclear Magnetic Resonance scan. (That’s what we called in when I took organic chemistry.):

Syndergaard was scratched from his scheduled start Thursday and told reporters he couldn’t lift his pitching arm over his head that that point. However, he insists he is healthy enough to face the NL East-leading Nationals tomorrow.

“I’m pretty in tune with my body,” said Syndergaard, via MLB.com. “That’s exactly why I refused to take the MRI. I knew there was nothing happening in there.”

That prompted the quote of the day from Sandy Alderson:

Sandy Alderson said its atypical for a player to refuse an MRI, as Syndergaard did. “I can’t tie him down & throw him in the tube either."

— James Wagner (@ByJamesWagner) April 29, 2017

Without medical proof, the Mets can’t place Syndergaard on the disabled list. Tomorrow’s start will be very interesting.

The Mets have taken criticism lately on how they handle injuries, especially after Yoenis Cespedes returned from a hamstring injury and immediately hurt it again. Of course, that not really unusual; they highest probability of an injury comes on the return from an injury. If Syndergaard really hurts himself tomorrow, then expect a great deal of criticism of the Mets front office.

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Games of the Day

The White Sox try to extend their winning streak to six games as Derek Holland faces the Tigers and Michael Fulmer. Holland posted a 4.93 ERA from 2015-2016, but so far in 2017 it stands at 1.99. That three-run drop appears to be partly due to a rise in his K rate and a drop in his home run rate. His FIPs, however are much closer to the previous two seasons. Fulmer avoided the sophomore slump so far, raising his strikeout game with 23 K in his first 25 IP of 2017. A right-handed pitcher, he owns left-handed batters this season, holding them to a .138/.200/.200 slash line.

The Phillies continue their series with the Dodgers as Zach Eflin tries to work his magic against Brandon McCarthy. Eflin allowed a home run about every five innings in his 2016 rookie campaign. He allowed just one in 12 innings so far this year. McCarthy is keeping batters off base with a .289 OBP allowed. Couple that with opponents going just 2 for 11 with runners in scoring position, and McCarthy owns a 2.25 ERA.

Enjoy!

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Eaton Injured

Adam Eaton rolled his ankle Friday night:

“It’s just awful,” said an unusually somber Max Scherzer. “Especially when you see the replay, he comes up short of the bag, and you see his ankle roll over, his whole leg kind of falls apart. Seeing him in the training room, it’s an awful feeling. You hate seeing your teammates, those guys injured severely. And I think that’s what happened.”

The Nationals will reach into their farm system to replace Eaton:

The Nationals are calling up OF Rafael Bautista today, per source. He hit .291 with a .680 OPS and 3 steals in 19 games for AAA Syracuse.

— Jorge Castillo (@jorgeccastillo) April 29, 2017

Not sure why he includes OPS, when the relevant statistic is OBP. He owns a .325 OBP at AAA this season, .355 for his minor league career.

Luckily for the Nationals, they still have a lot of firepower in the lineup.

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Rebuilding to First

The Chicago White Sox won their fifth game in a row Friday night, a 7-3, late inning win against the Tigers. With a 12-9 record on the season, they lead the Indians by 1/2 game. The White Sox traded away two great players over the winter, Chris Sale and Adam Eaton, so this streak and their position in the division is a very nice surprise.

Until the start of the streak, the offense was poor, and even with this streak, the Sox are hitting .239/.298/.383 as a team. They scored 40 runs in the last five games, 45% of their season total.

The Sox concentrated their offense in three players, Avisail Garcia, Leury Garcia, and Matt Davidson, the latter two playing more as the season progresses. All three have hit for average, gotten on base, and hit for power. Veteran Jose Abreu sprung to life during the streak to give that offense the extra boost it needed. Teams can do well with four very good hitters in the lineup.

As bad as the White Sox offense played overall, their opponents are worse. White Sox pitchers held batters to a .215/.298/.379 slash line. They kept the team in the hunt while the offense developed.

The Yankees staged a huge comeback Friday night. Down 9-1 and then 11-4, they used five home runs to beat the Orioles 14-11 in ten innings. Starlin Castro tied the game in the bottom of the ninth with a two run homer, then Matt Holliday won it with a three-run shot in the tenth. Aaron Judge hit two homers in the game, and is now tied with Khris Davis for the AL lead with nine.

The Yankees are in rebuilding mode, too, but it’s the veterans who have stepped up. Judge is a monster, but Gary Sanchez spent most of the season on the DL, and Greg Bird hasn’t really started to hit yet. The old men are leading the team. That’s fine, they are giving the youngsters in the minors time to develop. I suspect some of those veterans will fall off as the season wears on, and the young blood will be there to step in.

Neither young nor old, Starlin Castro appears to have found himself with this team. He is hitting like the Cubs thought he might, and the Yankees reap the benefit.

I don’t know if the Yankees and White Sox can continue atop their divisions, but each stocked their farm systems. Even if they fade from these early successes, the future looks bright for both teams.

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Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I recently update the models, and the results of those tests are here.

For 2017, I am just going to publish the Log5 hit averages and the NN probabilities with parks factored in. I am keeping track of the results here.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.314 — A.J. Pollock batting against Tyler Anderson
0.305 — David Peralta batting against Tyler Anderson
0.296 — Christopher Owings batting against Tyler Anderson
0.295 — Brandon Drury batting against Tyler Anderson
0.295 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Ivan Nova
0.294 — Yasmany Tomas batting against Tyler Anderson
0.294 — Jose Ramirez batting against Yovani Gallardo
0.293 — Jon Jay batting against Steven Wright
0.289 — Lorenzo Cain batting against Phil Hughes
0.287 — Daniel Murphy batting against Zack Wheeler
0.287 — Michael Moustakas batting against Phil Hughes
0.287 — Francisco Lindor batting against Yovani Gallardo

It’s a good day to be a Diamondbacks hitter. Anderson gave up hits at a higher rate on the road this season. Note that Paul Goldschmidt does not make the list. His batting average is similar to his teammates, but he walks a lot more, so he’s less likely to get a hit in a plate appearance.

The NN with Park produces this list:

0.314, 0.737 — A.J. Pollock batting against Tyler Anderson.
0.287, 0.736 — Daniel Murphy batting against Zack Wheeler.
0.295, 0.722 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Ivan Nova.
0.305, 0.721 — David Peralta batting against Tyler Anderson.
0.283, 0.715 — Brandon Phillips batting against Jimmy Nelson.
0.271, 0.713 — Trea Turner batting against Zack Wheeler.
0.284, 0.712 — Dee Gordon batting against Ivan Nova.
0.294, 0.712 — Jose Ramirez batting against Yovani Gallardo.
0.295, 0.708 — Brandon Drury batting against Tyler Anderson.
0.294, 0.706 — Yasmany Tomas batting against Tyler Anderson.

It’s a rare day that Daniel Murphy doesn’t come out on top, but Pollock is the unanimous pick. Note that of the five Diamondbacks in the Log5 list, Chris Owings is the only one that does not make the NN list. The difference between Owings and his teammates is that his short-term average is higher than his long-term average. At least where batters are concerned, the NN appears to correctly value long-term ability higher.

As always, your best pick is going to fail to get a hit about 25% of the time.

Here is a list of the players with at least 10 consecutive PA without a hit:

Batter	PA since Last Hit
Jeff Mathis	28
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	23
Raul Mondesi	20
Sandy Leon	20
JaCoby Jones	19
Michael Freeman	16
Brad Miller	16
Jesus Aguilar	16
Chris Gimenez	15
Cody Asche	15
Carlos Ruiz	14
Cristhian Adames	14
Marcell Ozuna	13
Ian Kinsler	13
Rene Rivera	13
Matt Davidson	13
Nick Hundley	13
Leonys Martin	12
Jhonny Peralta	12
Brandon Guyer	12
Antonio Senzatela	12
Nomar Mazara	12
DJ LeMahieu	11
Matt Harvey	11
Jon Lester	11
Starling Marte	11
Clayton Kershaw	11
Johnny Cueto	11
Kyle Higashioka	11
Lucas Duda	11
Jorge Polanco	10
Jeff Samardzija	10
Scott Feldman	10
Patrick Corbin	10
Max Scherzer	10
Ryan Goins	10
Jimmy Nelson	10

Good luck!

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Saturday Update

The Day by Day Database is up to date.

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Heavy the Shoulder that Wears the Crown

King Felix Hernandez will miss three to four weeks on the disabled list:

Seattle Mariners ace Felix Hernandez is expected to miss three to four weeks because of bursitis in his right shoulder.

Hernandez was placed on the 10-day disabled list Wednesday after he pitched only two innings in his start at Detroit the previous night. He allowed four runs and threw 48 pitches. Hernandez is 2-2 with a 4.73 ERA in five starts this season.

Hernadez is playing 2017 as a 31-year-old, although he might seem much older, having appeared in the majors since 2005. Before his problems in 2016, he pitched at least 190 innings for ten straight seasons, the last eight of those all over 200 innings. I suspect as he entered his 30s, all that work finally took a toll.

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Games of the Day

The Nationals return home from their 9-1 road trip to take on the Mets as Jacob deGrom pitches against Max Scherzer. There should be some nice breezes for the fans, as both pitcher post great strikeout rates. Scherzer, however, is better than deGrom at limiting walks and home runs, helping Scherzer to a better ERA.

The World Champion Cubs visit Fenway and the Red Sox as Jake Arrieta faces Drew Pomeranz. It’s the home town of the architect of the two drought breaking championships, Theo Epstein. Since Arrieta first pitched for the Cubs on 7/30/2013, he owns the third best winning percentage in the majors, posting a 2.57 ERA. Pomeranz pitched well so far this season, with 20 K and just five walks in 15 2/3 innings. Three home runs allowed hurt his ERA, however.

Finally, the Rockies and Diamondbacks play for the NL West lead in Phoenix as Kyle Freeland takes on Robbie Ray. The Diamondbacks moved into first place Thursday night with a 6-2 win over San Diego. Freeland gives up hits and walks, but kept his ERA reasonable this season by limiting power. He allowed just one home run this season in 21 2/3 innings, and only six of his 22 hits allowed went for extra bases. Ray struck out 30 batters in 23 2/3 innings, but gives up a high number of walks. Eight of the ten runs scored against him this season came at home.

Enjoy!

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Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I recently update the models, and the results of those tests are here.

For 2017, I am just going to publish the Log5 hit averages and the NN probabilities with parks factored in. I am keeping track of the results here.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.300 — Buster Posey batting against Luis Perdomo
0.290 — Hunter Pence batting against Luis Perdomo
0.286 — Brandon Phillips batting against Chase Anderson
0.285 — Lorenzo Cain batting against Kyle Gibson
0.284 — Michael Moustakas batting against Kyle Gibson
0.283 — Eduardo Nunez batting against Luis Perdomo
0.283 — Daniel Murphy batting against Jacob deGrom
0.280 — Corey Dickerson batting against Marcus Stroman
0.279 — Ryan Braun batting against Bartolo Colon
0.278 — Joe Panik batting against Luis Perdomo

Luis Perdomo, as usual, is the pitcher to face in this contest. He usually dominates the top ten a bit more, which may say something about the state of the Giants offense. Buster Posey came back strong from his concussion, which is why he moves to the top of the list.

The NN with Park produces this top ten list:

0.283, 0.731 — Daniel Murphy batting against Jacob deGrom.
0.286, 0.719 — Brandon Phillips batting against Chase Anderson.
0.300, 0.718 — Buster Posey batting against Luis Perdomo.
0.277, 0.712 — A.J. Pollock batting against Kyle Freeland.
0.277, 0.709 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Jameson Taillon.
0.266, 0.708 — Trea Turner batting against Jacob deGrom.
0.265, 0.707 — Jose Altuve batting against Jharel Cotton.
0.271, 0.707 — Charles Blackmon batting against Robbie Ray.
0.266, 0.705 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Robbie Ray.
0.290, 0.703 — Hunter Pence batting against Luis Perdomo.

Daniel Murphy springs to the top of this chart as usual, despite facing a tough pitcher in Jacob deGrom. In a very small sample size, Murphy is 2 for 3 against the Mets starter. Posey is 2 for 6 against Perdomo. Posey is the consensus pick on the day, with Brandon Phillips a close second. Phillips is 3 for 11 against Chase Anderson, but Phillips puts the ball in play with just one strikeout.

As always, the best player you pick is going to fail to get a hit about 25% of the time.

Here is the list of players with at least 10 plate appearances since their last hit. If the two lists intersection, such as with DJ LeMahieu, maybe that player is due!

Batter	PA since Last Hit
Jeff Mathis	28
Mark Trumbo	24
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	23
Raul Mondesi	20
Kevin Kiermaier	20
Sandy Leon	20
Domingo Santana	20
JaCoby Jones	19
Travis D'Arnaud	16
Michael Freeman	16
Jesus Aguilar	15
Lorenzo Cain	15
Cody Asche	15
Chris Gimenez	15
Conor Gillaspie	14
Carlos Ruiz	14
Cristhian Adames	13
Jackie Bradley, Jr.	13
Asdrubal Cabrera	13
Rene Rivera	13
Jhonny Peralta	12
Mike Napoli	12
Leonys Martin	12
Antonio Senzatela	12
J.J. Hardy	12
Starling Marte	11
Brad Miller	11
Clayton Kershaw	11
Matt Harvey	11
Lucas Duda	11
Kyle Schwarber	11
Johnny Cueto	11
Jon Lester	11
Kyle Higashioka	10
Jacoby Ellsbury	10
Jimmy Nelson	10
Nick Castellanos	10
DJ LeMahieu	10
Cameron Rupp	10
Marcell Ozuna	10
Scott Feldman	10
Stephen Piscotty	10
Patrick Corbin	10

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Friday Update

The Day by Day Database is up to date.

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Wish I Could Watch

Chris Sale is blowing away the Yankees this evening. Through seven inning he walked none and struck out 10. He is losing 1-0 on an unearned run, as Masahiro Tanaka is throwing a shutout. He only struck out three so far, but has not allowed a walk, and only three hits to Sale’s five. Both pitchers are dominating, but in different ways. Neither team has an extra base hit.

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The Toronto Lears

The Blue Jays continued their horrendous season Thursday afternoon. One out away from winning two games in a row for the first time this season, Randal Grichuk, in on a double switch, hit a two run homer for the Cardinals to tie the game at four. In the bottom of the 11th, Matt Carpenter hit a grand slam to seal the deal as the Cardinals walked off with an 8-4 win.

Now, in the second game of the double header, Dexter Fowler homered and the Cardinals lead 5-0. Days and seasons like this remind me of King Lear. Throughout the play, one thinks things can’t get any worse for the king, but they always get worse. That’s the Blue Jays season in a nutshell. They have the worst record in the majors.

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Good Night for Hample

I’m pretty sure Zack Hample, the home run catching expert, caught two in Cleveland tonight. He was dancing around for the camera after the second catch, and he looked familiar. Sure enough, the picture at the link was him.

The Astros lead the Indians 3-2 in the bottom of the fifth, but the Indians are threatening.

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Mets Keep Hurting

The Mets scratched Noah Syndergaard from his Thursday afternoon start due to a biceps injury, then lost Yoenis Cespedes in the game due to a hamstring injury.

These are latest injury setbacks for the Mets, who already are without third baseman David Wright (shoulder), starting pitchers Steven Matz (elbow) and Seth Lugo (elbow), first baseman Lucas Duda (elbow) and infielder Wilmer Flores (knee) – all of whom are on the disabled list.

Adding insult to the injuries, the Braves won Thursday’s game 7-5 to drop the Mets into last place in the NL East with an 8-13 record.

The Mets played well through April 13th, with a .234/.305/.448 slash line compared to their opponents at .231/.299/.349. The Mets were slugging their way to a 7-3 record. Since then, they are 1-10, and their batting stats plummetted while their opponents feasted. Their power disappeared, and their low batting and OBP averages got a lot worse. With Washington hot, the Mets are down 7 1/2 games in the NL East. They need to get healthy quickly, the opposite of what happened today.

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Happy Monk P2

Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I recently update the models, and the results of those tests are here.

For 2017, I am just going to publish the Log5 hit averages and the NN probabilities with parks factored in. I am keeping track of the results here.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.304 — Kevin Pillar batting against Adam Wainwright
0.299 — Corey Seager batting against Matt Moore
0.298 — Justin Turner batting against Matt Moore
0.291 — A.J. Pollock batting against Jered Weaver
0.287 — Ezequiel Carrera batting against Adam Wainwright
0.287 — Darwin Barney batting against Adam Wainwright
0.285 — David Peralta batting against Jered Weaver
0.285 — Brandon Phillips batting against Noah Syndergaard
0.281 — Michael Brantley batting against Michael Fiers
0.280 — Cesar Hernandez batting against Edinson Volquez

It’s a good day to be a Blue Jay as Log5 continues to dislike Adam Wainwright.

The NN with Park produces this list:

0.274, 0.728 — Daniel Murphy batting against Antonio Senzatela.
0.291, 0.726 — A.J. Pollock batting against Jered Weaver.
0.299, 0.719 — Corey Seager batting against Matt Moore.
0.285, 0.714 — David Peralta batting against Jered Weaver.
0.285, 0.713 — Brandon Phillips batting against Noah Syndergaard.
0.268, 0.710 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Gio Gonzalez.
0.275, 0.709 — Mookie Betts batting against Masahiro Tanaka.
0.304, 0.706 — Kevin Pillar batting against Adam Wainwright.
0.298, 0.705 — Justin Turner batting against Matt Moore.
0.257, 0.703 — Jose Altuve batting against Corey Kluber.
0.281, 0.703 — Michael Brantley batting against Michael Fiers.
0.256, 0.703 — Trea Turner batting against Antonio Senzatela.

The NN does not care that you are a rookie pitching well at Coors Field. It’s also kinder to Adam Wainwright. Corey Seager appears to be the consensus choice, although after the last two night it’s tough not to pick Trea Turner. Your best picks will still fail 25 to 30 percent of the time.

The was a question yesterday about the worst matchup. That would be:

0.183, 0.522 — Jarrod Saltalamacchia batting against Carlos Martinez.

So even the worst pick has a better than 50/50 chance of getting a hit.

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Thursday Update

The Day by Day Database is up to date.

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Games of the Day

R.A. Dickey takes on his old team as the Braves face Noah Syndergaard and the Mets. Dickey allowed a .257/.325/.432 slash line so far this year, which is above the major league average. His ERA is low, however, due to allowing a batters to go just 2 for 15 with runners in scoring position. Syndergaard has yet to walk a batter or allow a home run in 26 innings while striking out 30.

The Nationals finish their series in Colorado as Gio Gonzalez takes on rookie Antonio Senzatela. Gonzalez is off to a great start in 2017, bringing a 1.35 ERA into the game. He appears to have re-weighted his pitch selections. He’s throwing more four-seam fastballs and fewer two-seam fastballs, and more curve balls. He is inducing more fly balls, but a smaller percentage are leaving the park as batters likely swing under the four-seamer. Senzatela is showing great control for a rookie, walking just four batters in 26 innings. Both home runs he allowed came at Coors, however.

Enjoy!

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Brantley’s Return

The Cleveland Indians are ecstatic about Michael Brantley’s return to form:

“He’d probably say it’s not as consistent,” said assistant hitting coach Matt Quatraro. “He missed a lot of time, but there were a lot of years of putting the hay in the barn before that, too. … He went [a year] without seeing competitive pitches. It takes your eyes time to adjust.”

It took Brantley about a week. In his first seven games, he batted .208 with a .546 OPS. Since, he has strung together a 10-game hitting streak, with a .381 average (16-for-42) and all four of his long balls.

His strikeout rate sits a bit higher than his career norm, but he’s spraying line drives across the field and slapping grounders through defensive gaps like he always has.

“It looks like he’s never missed a day,” said fellow Tribe outfielder Austin Jackson.

He went 2 for 4 in Cleveland’s 7-6 win over Houston on Wednesday, leaving him with a .318/.384/.595 slash line for the season. It’s only about 70 PA, so take it with a grain of salt. I suspect pitchers are testing him early in the season to see if he can catch up with the fastball. We’ll see how he looks at the end of May, but the Indians have a right to be optimistic.

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Technical Difficulties

There is a technical issue today that is delaying the updating of the Day by Day Database. I am working to resolve the issue as quickly as possible. Thank you for your patience.

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The Pirates Gift

The Pirates called up Gift Ngoepe to the majors:

The Pirates recalled Ngoepe, an infielder, from Class AAA Indianapolis on Wednesday, making him the first player from Africa to reach the major leagues, according to the team.

“It’s a dream come true for me because it’s been my dream since I was a 10-year-old boy, but it also means so much to the people of South Africa and baseball in Africa,” Ngoepe said before the Pirates played the Chicago Cubs late Wednesday. “I’ve gotten plenty from people back home who are so excited.” He noted that baseball in Africa was “still very much in the development stages” and said he hoped that an African reaching the major leagues would spur more interest.

Congratulations to Ngoepe! I’m a bit surprised. I would have thought that someone who came to the US from Africa as a child might have grown up to play baseball.

Ngoepe spent a long time in the minors, first playing there as a 19-year-old. He is now seasonal age 27. He is a low batting average player who draws enough walks to keep his OBP from being terrible. I really would not expect him to be more than a backup middle infielder, but a couple of years in that position and he’ll make some decent money.

Gift was part of a great minor league boxscore five years ago.

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Thames Hurt

Eric Thames scored two more runs in another Milwaukee blowout, as the Brewers beat the Reds 9-4. Thames left the game with an injury, however:

Thames, who leads the majors with 11 homers, appeared to be favoring his left hamstring as he stretched before the Reds batted in the eighth. Manager Craig Counsell talked with him near first base before the two walked off the field. Jesus Aguilar replaced Thames.

Thames singled, walked and scored twice, extending his Milwaukee franchise record for April to 27.

While we think of power hitters as RBI men, they also score a lot of runs. Barry Bonds, Hank Aaron, and Babe Ruth rank 3rd and tied for fourth in career runs scored. They all posted high OBPs, which help batters score a ton of runs.

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Something for Everyone

Tuesday night was a smorgasbord of baseball. Even with three postponements, the games produced four low scoring, close games (total of three runs or less), three slugfests, five blow outs (win by five runs or more), two shutouts, and two extra inning games. There was even an unusual feat!

At Coors, the top five batters in the Washington lineup combined for 12 hits, 11 runs, 14 RBI, and six extra base hits as the Nationals beat the Rockies 15-12. That hitting included Trea Turner’s cycle, the third in Nationals history:

He drove a home run out to right field. He singled, doubled and tripled the other way. A day after the Rockies’ pitching staff stymied him with breaking balls, Turner fouled them off to get better pitches. After a single in the first, a double in the second, and a home run in the sixth, Turner had already tied his career high in RBI with four.

“When you take someone that’s immensely talented like he is, and they’re engaged on every single pitch, special things happen,” said Murphy, whose three-hit, five-RBI night was lost in Turner’s shivering shadow. “That’s what we saw tonight.”

As we know, Coors is a cycle friendly park.

Tuesday night was a great night to be a baseball fan.

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The King’s Arm is Dead

Felix Hernandez pitched just two innings Tuesday night as the Tigers smacked the Mariners in a slugfest 19-9. Hernandez gave up six hits, four runs, and one of seven home runs hit in the game. He will return to Seattle to have his shoulder examined:

Mariners star Felix Hernandez was set to return to Seattle to have a stiff right shoulder checked by team doctors after he lasted only two innings in his start at Detroit on Tuesday night.

Hernandez allowed four runs and six hits in Seattle’s 19-9 loss to the Tigers. There was no injury announcement after he was removed from the game, but afterward, manager Scott Servais said the right-hander was dealing with stiffness.

“He had some stiffness in his shoulder going out for the second inning, but there wasn’t any pain,” Servais said. “He said it was more like a dead arm, but there’s obviously some concern when you are talking about a pitcher’s shoulder. He’s been a horse for us, but we have to get this checked out.”

The Mariners did get Jean Segura back on Tuesday, and he went 3 for 6 with a home run in the losing cause.

For the Tigers, Ian Kinsler collected four hits, and Jim Adduci missed the cycle by a home run. Detroit only collected one more hit with runners in scoring position, but all the Mariners home runs were solo shots, and the other six extra base hits in the game all belonged to the Tigers. Both teams drew seven walks. Long hits move runners home.

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Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I recently update the models, and the results of those tests are here.

For 2017, I am just going to publish the Log5 hit averages and the NN probabilities with parks factored in. I am keeping track of the results here.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.292 — Starlin Castro batting against Rick Porcello
0.287 — Daniel Murphy batting against Tyler Chatwood
0.285 — Zack Cozart batting against Wily Peralta
0.284 — Cesar Hernandez batting against Edinson Volquez
0.283 — Brandon Phillips batting against Noah Syndergaard
0.279 — Eugenio Suarez batting against Wily Peralta
0.277 — Jonathan Schoop batting against Alexander Cobb
0.277 — Corey Seager batting against Johnny Cueto
0.275 — Adam Jones batting against Alexander Cobb
0.275 — Jacoby Ellsbury batting against Rick Porcello

I have to say I’m a bit surprised to see two Yankees making the top ten against the 2016 AL Cy Young Award winner. Then again, in two of the last three seasons (counting 2017), Porcello allowed a fairly high batting average with few walks, the type of pitcher who should produce a high hit average. I’m more surprised to see Ellsbury than Castro on the list, since Ellsbury was not that good a hitter the previous two seasons.

The NN with Park modifies the list like this:

0.287, 0.733 — Daniel Murphy batting against Tyler Chatwood.
0.274, 0.712 — Jose Altuve batting against Trevor Bauer.
0.283, 0.709 — Brandon Phillips batting against Noah Syndergaard.
0.266, 0.708 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Tanner Roark.
0.292, 0.704 — Starlin Castro batting against Rick Porcello.
0.277, 0.703 — Corey Seager batting against Johnny Cueto.
0.264, 0.700 — Trea Turner batting against Tyler Chatwood.
0.268, 0.700 — Jean Segura batting against Daniel Norris.
0.284, 0.700 — Cesar Hernandez batting against Edinson Volquez.
0.259, 0.699 — Mookie Betts batting against Luis Severino.

Note that the NN agrees with me on Ellsbury, as it drops him way down the list with a probability of a hit int he game at .672. Daniel Murphy appears to be the consensus pick, with Starlin Castro second. As always, your best pick will fail to get a hit about 25% of the time.

Here is the latest list of players that currently have the longest streak of plate appearances without a hit:

Batter	PA since Last Hit
Chase Utley	30
Jeff Mathis	24
Marwin Gonzalez	23
Alcides Escobar	20
Domingo Santana	20
Raul Mondesi	20
Mark Trumbo	19
JaCoby Jones	19
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	19
Khristopher Davis	17
Nicholas Franklin	16
Michael Freeman	16
Greg Bird	15
Cody Asche	15
Jesus Aguilar	15
Kevin Kiermaier	14
Yunel Escobar	14
Sandy Leon	14
Michael Taylor	14
Eduardo Nunez	13
Ben Revere	13
Javier Baez	13
Martin Maldonado	12
Leonys Martin	12
Anthony Rizzo	12
Tucker Barnhart	12
Brett Gardner	12
Jhonny Peralta	12
Hector Sanchez	12
J.J. Hardy	12
Clayton Kershaw	11
Tyler Flowers	11
Jefry Marte	11
Conor Gillaspie	11
Gio Gonzalez	11
Edwin Encarnacion	11
Starling Marte	11
Lucas Duda	11
Chris Gimenez	11
Cristhian Adames	11
Ender Inciarte	11
Carlos Ruiz	11
Ryan Schimpf	11
Jimmy Nelson	10
Tyler Chatwood	10
Johnny Cueto	10
Matt Harvey	10
Kyle Higashioka	10
Lorenzo Cain	10
Patrick Corbin	10
Wilmer Difo	10
Antonio Senzatela	10
Rene Rivera	10
Travis D'Arnaud	10
Scott Feldman	10

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4 Tips for Repairing a Leaky Shower Faucet

Content originally published and Shared from http://perfectbath.com

A leaky shower faucet could potentially be costing you money on your water bill. Thus, to help you out, we’ll discuss 3 tips for repairing a leaky shower faucet below. Read on!

Image Source: Flickr

Remove the Handle
Start by removing the faucet handle. Methods for doing this will depend upon the faucet’s design. Older or simply-designed faucets often have an exposed screw front and center or a locking screw in the side. Newer and more decorative models of faucets hide the screw beneath a cover cap. With these, you need to pry off the cover cap to expose the screw. If your faucet handle is the type with a cover cap and there is no obvious method of removal, use a very thin screwdriver or pocketknife to pry the cap off. Be careful not to scratch the finish or damage the material. Source: HomeTips

Remove the Cartridge

• The cartridge is a large ring that is adjacent to the wall. It will be exposed after you remove the faucet handle.
• Use a cartridge puller. This can be found at a hardware or home improvement store. Source: wikiHow

Install the New Cartridge
Turn the hex screw by hand until it bottoms out. Snug up the hex nut by hand and tug on the cartridge puller handle. If the cartridge won’t pull out, hold the puller handle steady and tighten the hex nut two full turns. Pull the cartridge out of the faucet body. Buy an identical replacement cartridge, align it properly and reassemble the parts. Source: FamilyHandyman

Clean and Reassemble
Before putting the shower stem back, take the opportunity to clean any junk from the pipes. Put the shower stem back into the pipe in reverse order from how you took it out. Use some faucet grease and apply it to the faucet stem threads. In order to prevent damage, re-caulk the faucet plate. When completely finished, don’t forget to turn your water back on. Source: DoItYourself

 

Contact:
Perfect Bath
Phone: Toll Free 1-866-843-1641
Calgary, Alberta
Email: info@perfectbath.com

The post 4 Tips for Repairing a Leaky Shower Faucet appeared first on Perfect Bath Canada.

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Wednesday Update

The Day by Day Database is up to date.

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Astros Rendezvous

Jose Altuve and Teoscar Hernandez just collided in Cleveland as they chased a high pop up. Altuve got the ball in his glove, but Hernandez arm caught Altuve in the face as the ball dropped to the ground. Both were down on the field for a while. Alutve walked off under his own power, but came out of the game. Hernandez hurt his leg and was taken off on a cart. Hernandez just came in as a defensive replacement in his first game of the season after Jake Marisnick went on the DL due to a concussion. The Astros lead the Indians 3-1 in the bottom of the eighth inning, but play the rest of the game short on personnel.

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Not the first time.

Happened to me tonight but I am sure it will happen again.

Every one who is anyone has droped paint or knocked over water or even droped their miniature and chiped off some paint if you havent then you are realy carefull or I am just glumsey but what I am talking to you about right now is injurys wile doing our hobby.

There are a few things we are able to hurt ourselfs with in this hobby and here are a few of them 

Not mine but I am sure we all use these.

And tonight I ended up like this.

This is how I fixed my self with some kitchen roll and masking tape that I had around my desk.

all thanks to

 This is the second time that I have used this blade I normaly use the 10a blade this is a 10 blade.

and as I cut a finger that I need to paint I thought I would ask you all have you ever done this or done worse and if so what. Thought I would ask this wile my finger heals for more work.

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