The final installment of Barry Jackson’s review of the Marlins financial plan focuses on how the plan might come to fruition:
On the field: Having traded three of the organization’s top five players, the Marlins need to hit big on most of these trades and hope their top pitching prospect, Braxton Garrett, rebounds effectively from Tommy John surgery.
If Garrett and all of the pitching prospects acquired this offseason reach their potential, the 2020 rotation could be very good and mostly cheap: Jose Urena (won’t be a free agent until after 2021); perhaps Dan Straily if he hasn’t been traded by then; Jorge Guzman (”there is no other starter in baseball that has an average fastball as high as Jorge Guzman,” Marlins executive Gary Denbo said); Sandy Alcantara (the top pitcher acquired from St. Louis; one scout said he could be a No. 2 starter); Garrett (scouts said he had ace potential before elbow surgery), and/or Nick Neidert (the quality prospect acquired from Seattle; Marlins rave about his deception).
There is more on the pitching as well. The problem, of course, is that pitching is very tough to predict. Atlanta successfully brought along Steve Avery, Tom Glavine, and John Smoltz. The Athletics pulled off Tim Hudson, Mark Mulder, and Barry Zito. The Mets fanned on Jason Isringhausen, Bill Pulsipher, and Paul Wilson. The Yankees did the same with Joba Chamberalin, Phil Hughes, and Ian Kennedy. A lot has to go right to develop a rotation purely out of young talent.
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2CShBlF
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