The 2019 series on team offense continues with the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers finished twenty sixth in the majors and fourteenth in the American League in 2018 with 3.89 runs scored per game.
I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Ron Gardenhire order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
- Best lineup: 4.69
- Probable lineup: 4.55
- Worst lineup: 4.40
- Regressed lineup: 4.31
It’s tough for me to believe a team can improve a lineup with Pirates cast-offs, but the Tigers do look somewhat better than last season. Josh Harrison should raise second base and lead-off stats from terrible to meh. Jordy Mercer should provide a bit more OBP at shortstop.
A bigger boost would come from keeping Miguel Cabrera healthy. He’s only played one full season in his last four. Keeping his bat in the lineup for 150 games will make the offense better.
There is no depth on this team, so an injury to Cabrera or Nick Castellanos could doom the team to another sub 4.0 R/G season.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet. If you like this series, consider a donation to the Baseball Musings Pledge Drive.
Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction (From last year, still using the same methods and regression equation.)
- Boston Red Sox
- New York Yankees
- Cleveland Indians
- Oakland Athletics
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Houston Astros
- Colorado Rockies
- Washington Nationals
- Atlanta Braves
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Chicago Cubs
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Minnesota Twins
- Texas Rangers
- Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Cincinnati Reds
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Seattle Mariners
- New York Mets
- Chicago White Sox
- Kansas City Royals
from baseballmusings.com https://ift.tt/2TVsaAc
No comments:
Post a Comment