A three-way tie for the NL Wild Card remains the most likely massive tie scenario. It can happen with as many as 91 wins:
| Team | Record |
| Mets | 11-2 |
| Giants | 12-1 |
| Cardinals | 13-0 |
None of the three teams play head-to-head, so there are lots of combinations that make the tie possible. I suspect, however, that if the Giants go 12-1, they would pull the Dodgers back to the pack as well. If Cardinals go 9-4, and the Mets could go still play better than .500 the last 13 games. One problem with achieving a tie is that the Mets have a fairly easy schedule down the stretch, so they should do a bit better than .500. Given the number of major injuries to New York this season, this is an impressive final run.
With Boston sweeping the Yankees over the weekend, it looks like the best chance for a massive tie in the AL would be for the second wild card slot. The most wins for this particular four-way tie would be 91 wins.
| Team | Record |
| Blue Jays | 10-3 |
| Tigers | 11-2 |
| Mariners | 11-2 |
| Astros | 12-1 |
Houston plays Seattle three times, and Seattle plays Toronto three times. If the winning percentages were this high, then either the Orioles or Red Sox would probably be dragged back into the race. This is one reason I’m going series by series here, instead of day by day. These four teams are unlikely to play this well, but again, there are a lot of possibilities for a tie, like the Astros going 9-4 while the Blue Jays go 7-6.
There is still the possibility of a three-way tie for the AL East Crown, with at most 92 wins:
| Team | Record |
| Red Sox | 7-6 |
| Orioles | 10-3 |
| Blue Jays | 11-2 |
In this scenario, the Blue Jays go 2-1 against both the Red Sox and Orioles, while the Orioles sweep the Red Sox. Friday should be an interesting day. We could wind up with a clearer view of who is likely to win, but it could also be we’ll be looking at a six-way race for the AL East and two wild cards.
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2cNoHKZ
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