The 2019 series on team offense continues with the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs finished eleventh in the majors in the majors and sixth in the National League in 2018 with 4.67 runs scored per game.
I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Joe Maddon order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. The actual numbers from 2018 were used for the Cubs pitchers. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
- Best lineup: 5.05
- Probable lineup: 4.81
- Worst lineup: 4.37
- Regressed lineup: 4.48
Maddon hits a lot of slots spot on. The LAT likes Kris Bryant batting second, Javier Baez batting fourth, and Kyle Schwarber sixth. There are a few top orders with Wilson Contreras, Schwarber, and Ian Happ 5-6-7.
Of course, the Cubs do a lot of mixing and matching. I suspect Schwarber and Jason Heyward might end up being a defensive platoon, with Heyward getting the start behind pitchers who allow a higher percentage of fly balls, Schwarber when the outfield is likely to have an easy day.
It is not an easy lineup for opposing pitchers. Most of the batters project to good to great OBPs, and most have some pop. They are not easy outs.
It doesn’t appear the team did anything to great improve the offense. Letting the youngsters mature is all the team needed to up their runs.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet. If you like this series, consider a donation to the Baseball Musings Pledge Drive.
Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction (From last year, still using the same methods and regression equation.)
- Boston Red Sox
- New York Yankees
- Cleveland Indians
- Oakland Athletics
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Houston Astros
- Colorado Rockies
- Washington Nationals
- Atlanta Braves
- St. Louis Cardinals
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