The 2019 series on team offense continues with the Cleveland Indians. The Indians finished third in the majors in 2018 with 5.05 runs scored per game.
I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Terry Francona order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
- Best lineup: 4.93
- Probable lineup: 4.81
- Worst lineup: 4.61
- Regressed lineup: 4.48
The LAT flips Francisco Lindor and Carlos Santana. The LAT bats them four and one instead of one and four. Santana has often been used as a lead-off hitter, so don’t be surprised to see him in that role this season.
Francona should consider batting Roberto Perez eighth. He projects to be the worst hitter by far. Lindor has some pop, however, so having someone with a better chance of getting on base at the end of the order should take more advantage of that pop.
This is a team that could have greatly benefited from signing Bryce Harper. They have no strong hitters in the outfield, and a top four that included both Jose Ramirez and Harper would be formidable. Given their long World Series drought, Harper would have made a lot of sense. Right now, it looks like Cleveland will have a tough time repeating their 2018 offensive level.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.
Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction (From last year, still using the same methods and regression equation.)
- Boston Red Sox
- New York Yankees
from baseballmusings.com https://ift.tt/2H87IW6
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