The 2019 series on team offense continues with the Oakland Athletics. The Athletics finished fourth in the majors in 2018 with 5.02 runs scored per game.
I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Bob Melvin order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
- Best lineup: 5.13
- Probable lineup: 5.03
- Worst lineup: 4.85
- Regressed lineup: 4.62
With a spread of just 0.28 runs, Oakland has the most flexible lineup analyzed so far. The LAT puts Khris Davis in the fourth slot, and that is where he is slated to bat. The LAT shows Stephen Piscotty and Marcus Semien in the six-seven slots, and that’s where they are intended to bat. Everyone else can be spread around the lineup making little difference.
Ramon Laureano is a player to watch, as he has not yet reached his prime. If he lives up to his projections, he should move to the top of the Athletics order. If you scroll down to the 11th best order, it has Nick Martini first, Laureano third, and Jurickson Profar ninth. That would be a very good arrangement for this group of players.
Oakland appears to have preserved their offense with some upside. They will score enough runs to win, now they need to keep their pitchers healthy.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.
Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction (From last year, still using the same methods and regression equation.)
- Boston Red Sox
- New York Yankees
- Cleveland Indians
from baseballmusings.com https://ift.tt/2C06h8G
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