Sunday, March 10, 2019

Team Offense, Texas Rangers

The 2019 series on team offense continues with the Texas Rangers. The Rangers finished fourteenth in the majors and seventh in the American League in 2018 with 4.55 runs scored per game.

I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Chris Woodward order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):

  • Best lineup: 4.87
  • Probable lineup: 4.84
  • Worst lineup: 4.58
  • Regressed lineup: 4.50

The Rangers take the lead in the percent of the best category, defined as 100*(Probable-Worst)/(Best-Worst). The Woodward lineup comes in at 89.66%. The LAT and the Rangers lineup agree on Shin-Soo Choo leading off and Joey Gallo batting fourth. Those are the two slots that help match the LAT the most. The Rangers also put Asbrubal Cabrera, Ronald Guzman, and Delino DeShields together near the bottom of the order, while the LAT bats they 7-8-9. Still, one of the best agreements I’ve see in all the years doing this analysis.

Like the Twins, the Rangers have a very young core just approaching their primes. The Marcels account for age improvement, but if two or three of these players realize their potential, the Rangers offense could take off. If so, the Rangers are set up for a long run of offensive excellence.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet. If you like this series, consider a donation to the Baseball Musings Pledge Drive.

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