The 2018 series on team offense continues with the Kansas City Royals. The Royals finished twenty fourth in the major leagues and thirteenth in the American League in 2017 with 4.33 runs scored per game.
I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Ned Yost order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
Best lineup: 4.57
Probable lineup:4.50
Worst lineup: 4.25
Regressed lineup: 4.28
The Royals, despite losing Lorenzo Cain and Eric Hosmer, don’t seem to be that bad off compared to the 2017 season. Lucas Duda projects to produce a lower OBP than Hosmer, but matches his slugging projection. John Jay is about even with Cain in OBP, but gives up power. So the team should be down a bit, but not down that much. The Royals did not produce well offensively in 2017 and they likely won’t in 2018.
The default lineup does do a good job of maximizing the lineup potential. The LAT likes Jay in the lead-off slot. It often likes Whit Merrifield batting second. It groups Mike Moustakas, Duda and Salvador Perez together. It bats Alcides Escobar eighth.
It’s not a good lineup, but it fits together well. If things go right, the Royals may actually exceed their 2017 run total.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.
Help support this series and the LAT by donating to the Baseball Musings Pledge Drive.
Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction
- Houston Astros
- New York Yankees
- Colorado Rockies
- Chicago Cubs
- Washington Nationals
- Cleveland Indians
- Minnesota Twins
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Texas Rangers
- Boston Red Sox
- Miami Marlins
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Cincinnati Reds
- Seattle Mariners
- Baltimore Orioles
- Oakland Athletics
- Detroit Tigers
- New York Mets
- Atlanta Braves
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
- Chicago White Sox
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