Monday, March 19, 2018

Team Offense, Tampa Bay Rays

The 2018 series on team offense continues with the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays finished twenty fifth in the major leagues and fourteenth in the American League in 2017 with 4.28 runs scored per game.

I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Kevin Cash order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):

Best lineup: 4.54
Probable lineup:4.51
Worst lineup: 4.37
Regressed lineup: 4.28

At 0.17 runs, the Rays own the smallest spread between the worst and best lineups of the 25 teams analyzed so far. That makes it difficult for the Rays to post a wrong lineup, since everyone is pretty much a low OBP and low power hitter. The Rays, however, nail the 8-9-1 lineup turn. The get the two batters behind them right as well. If C.J. Cron lives up to his project slugging percentage, he should be higher in the lineup, but the Rays will get there if Cron preforms at that level.

As Rays fans know, there not much to be excited about in this lineup. They likely will be near the bottom of the American League in runs scored, but at least they are operating efficiently!

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

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Previous posts in this series:



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