The 2018 series on team offense finishes with some thoughts on the results. As a reminder, the default lineups for teams were taken from RotoChamp, and the projections came from the Musings Marcels. Those two sources were plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT). The results are summarized in this spreadsheet.
The Yankees rank first with the highest scoring default lineup, 5.46 runs per game. They are followed by the Astros, Red Sox, Indians, Rangers, and Blue Jays. The Cubs and the Dodgers lead the NL with their default lineups coming in at 4.89 runs per game. They are followed by the Nationals, Cardinals, and Rockies.
The Blue Jays are the biggest movers, going from 26 place in 2017 to sixth place in 2018. The Angels move up 13 spots from 22 to 9, the Athletics move up ten slots from 17 to 7, the Phillies move up 8 slots from 27 to 19, while the Mariners move up seven slots from 15 to 8. The AL West certainly took the Astros seriously. In a division where tanking might be a good year, all four competing teams made moves to improve offense.
The Marlins stand as the biggest loser to no one’s surprise, dropping from 11th in the majors to 30th place.
The median default lineup comes in at 4.86 runs per game, while the median regressed lineup is 4.51 runs per game. Last season, the median team scored 4.61 runs per game, with the league average at 4.65 runs per game.
The Athletics leave the most runs on the table, as they only achieved 46% of the optimal lineup. The Rangers on the other hand, achieved 89% of the optimal lineup. The best A’s lineup is better than the best Rangers lineup, but the Rangers default lineup projects to score more than the Athletics default lineup. The Orioles, Rays, and Red Sox also achieved over 80% of the scoring of the best lineup.
In terms of the lineup really making a difference, the Tampa Bay Rays project to have the lowest spread between best and worst lineups, 0.17 runs. This makes the manager’s job a little easier, as he can bat players where they like without losing much. In the AL the Angels own the largest spread, likely due to Mike Trout being head and shoulders above everyone else. In the NL, the Padres own the lowest spread, the Reds, with Joey Votto, the highest.
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Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction
- Houston Astros
- New York Yankees
- Colorado Rockies
- Chicago Cubs
- Washington Nationals
- Cleveland Indians
- Minnesota Twins
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Texas Rangers
- Boston Red Sox
- Miami Marlins
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Cincinnati Reds
- Seattle Mariners
- Baltimore Orioles
- Oakland Athletics
- Detroit Tigers
- New York Mets
- Atlanta Braves
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
- Chicago White Sox
- Kansas City Royals
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- San Francisco Giants
- San Diego Padres
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