Thursday, March 22, 2018

Team Offense, San Diego Padres

The 2018 series on team offense continues with the San Diego Padres. The Padres finished last in the major leagues in 2017 with 3.73 runs scored per game.

I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Andy Green order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. For the pitchers slot, I used the actual values produced by the Padres pitchers in 2017. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):

Best lineup: 4.33
Probable lineup: 4.11
Worst lineup: 3.83
Regressed lineup: 4.02

Like the Giants in the previous post, the default Padres lineup has a player with a good OBP batting eighth, Carlos Asuaje. I will make the same suggestion for the Padres; if you are going to bat someone with a good OBP eighth, you night as well bat him ninth and give the top of the order more opportunities to drive runners around the bases.

Otherwise, the default lineup is pretty good. The fifteenth best lineup has the same 1-4 and 5-9 grouping, even agreeing on the five, six and seven slots. The just have not added the oomph the Giants did, so they are likely to finish near the bottom of the division again in offense.

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Previous posts in this series:



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