Beat the Streak Picks

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN).

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.300 — Jose Altuve batting against Jaime Garcia
0.299 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Nathan Eovaldi
0.297 — Yunel Escobar batting against Ervin Santana
0.294 — Eric Hosmer batting against Josh Tomlin
0.293 — Carlos Gonzalez batting against Nathan Eovaldi
0.292 — Victor Martinez batting against Miguel Gonzalez
0.289 — Ian Kinsler batting against Miguel Gonzalez
0.289 — Nomar Mazara batting against Eric Surkamp
0.289 — Eduardo Nunez batting against Jhoulys Chacin
0.288 — Charles Blackmon batting against Nathan Eovaldi

Rockies players against Eovaldi in Colorado seem like a good idea, especially when you look at his long term numbers.

The NN list:

0.300, 0.752 — Jose Altuve batting against Jaime Garcia.
0.287, 0.740 — Xander Bogaerts batting against Chris Tillman.
0.266, 0.738 — Buster Posey batting against Matt Garza.
0.287, 0.737 — Daniel Murphy batting against John Lackey.
0.299, 0.733 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Nathan Eovaldi.
0.275, 0.730 — Miguel Cabrera batting against Miguel Gonzalez.
0.285, 0.729 — Lorenzo Cain batting against Josh Tomlin.
0.287, 0.728 — Nolan Arenado batting against Nathan Eovaldi.
0.289, 0.728 — Ian Kinsler batting against Miguel Gonzalez.
0.220, 0.728 — Ben Revere batting against John Lackey.

It looks like a Jose Altuve night, although DJ LeMahieu would be good second choice. As always, this is just a guide. You should look at other information as well, like home road and left-right splits.

from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/236ZcbV