A three-way tie for the NL Wild Card remains the most likely massive tie scenario. This particular scenario became a bit more likely Monday night as the Cardinals won and the Mets and Giants lost. It can happen with as many as 91 wins:
| Team | Record |
| Mets | 11-1 |
| Giants | 12-0 |
| Cardinals | 12-0 |
Since none of the teams play head-to-head, the calculation of probabilities is straight forward. Assuming these are intrinsically .530 teams, the total probability of a three-way tie is 0.027. The most likely outcome for a tie has the Giants and Cardinals going 7-5, the Mets 6-6 with a probability of .0101. The odds are long but not impossible.
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2cNO6av
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