The 2018 series on team offense Continues with the Colorado Rockies. The Rockies finished third in the major leagues and first in the National Leauge in 2017 with 5.09 runs scored per game.
I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Bud Black order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. For the pitchers slot, I used the actual values produced by the Rockies pitchers in 2017. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
Best lineup: 4.97
Probable lineup: 4.69
Worst lineup: 4.28
Regressed lineup: 4.40
The Rockies appear to be leaving a lot of runs on the table, mostly due to Gerardo Parra batting fourth. Note that his projections for the 2018 season are well below his .341/.452 averages from 2017. If one believes he will reach those numbers again, fourth is fine. If he does regress more toward his career averages, the Rockies will need a better solution in that slot.
I do like flipping Charlie Blackmon and DJ LeMahieu in the table setting slots. That would take better advantage of Blackmon’s power, especially if the pitcher bats ninth. The Rockies are toying with the idea of batting Blackmon third. The second slot is becoming a power hitter’s slot, however. It would give Blackmon a chance to drive in LeMahieu, setup Nolan Arenado, and get Blackmon a few more plate appearances during the season.
Ryan McMahon will play 2018 as a 23-year-old, and tore up both AA and AAA in 2017. He gives the lineup some upside, and might bat much higher than seventh by the end of the season. If he can show he can get on at a high rate, the Rockies could move him second and get Blackmon and Arenado three and four.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.
Help support this series and the LAT by donating to the Baseball Musings Pledge Drive.
Previous posts in this series:
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2oVhKiz
No comments:
Post a Comment