Friday, March 9, 2018

Team Offense, Texas Rangers

The 2018 series on team offense continues with the Texas Rangers. The Rangers finished ninth in the major leagues and fifth in the American League in 2017 with 4.93 runs scored per game.

I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Jeff Banister order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):

Best lineup: 5.12
Probable lineup: 5.09
Worst lineup: 4.85
Regressed lineup: 4.66

Banister’s lineup is so good, that all he would really need to do to improve it is swap Elvis Andrus and Willie Calhoun. The 22nd best lineup (5.11 runs per game) has that swap, along with an Adrian Beltre/Joey Gallo swap. The order at Roto World is 88.9% of the way to the best order, the best we’ve seen of the posted lineups so far.

Like the other AL lineups evaluated so far, the spread between the best and worst lineups is small. There are no superstar hitters on the team. Most of the hitters get on base at a decent clip, and those that don’t hit for power. Everyone can do something offensively, but none of the nine post two outstanding averages. The lineup matters less for the Rangers for that reason, but Banister still nails it. They should score enough runs to win if they get the pitching.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

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Previous posts in this series:



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