Monday, March 28, 2016

Team Offense, 2016, Summation

The LAT generated run values for every team based on Musings Marcels projections and default lineups for the 30 teams. This post presents some observations.

The spread sheet is now sorted by the regressed runs per game, which should be the best estimate from the data of what a team will score. The range goes from 4.69 runs per game at the high end for the Blue Jays to 3.72 runs per game at the low end for the Phillies. The mean of that column is 4.20 runs per game, while the median is 4.23. The majors averaged 4.25 runs per game in 2015.

The biggest projected improvements in terms of rank go to the Tigers and the Mariners. The Tigers project to move from fifteenth to second, while the Mariners move from 21st to third. The Cubs would be the biggest mover in the NL going from 16th to the majors to 10th overall and first in the NL. The ranked sixth in the NL in 2015.

The biggest loser would be the Rockies. Fifth in the majors in 2015, they project to drop to 24th. The Diamondbacks are not far behind, dropping from eighth to 23rd. In the AL the Royals from seventh in the majors to 20th in the majors, and last in the American League. The Yankees also project to a huge drop, from second to 17th.

The award for lineup closest to the optimum calculated by the LAT is a tie between the Cubs and the Orioles at 89.66%. The Astros and Red Sox are close behind at 86.21% and 84.00% respectively. They are four of the more sabermetrically savvy organizations in baseball, which gives me some confidence that the LAT does a good job.

Let me know what you think in the comments.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

Please consider donating to the Baseball Musings Pledge Drive.

Previous posts in this series:



from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/1LVnrWL
Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)