Monday, March 28, 2016

Team Offense, Atlanta Braves

The 2016 series on team offense continues with the Atlanta Braves. The Braves finished last in the majors in 2015 with 3.54 runs scored per game. That was 0.24 runs per game worse than any other team.

Once again I am using a combination of RotoChamp and USA Today as a source of default lineups. The RotoChamp lineup wins here as it appears to more accurately reflect the top of the order used recently in spring training. That Fredi Gonzalez lineup is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. For the pitchers slot, I used the Braves 2015 pitcher numbers. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):

Best lineup: 4.08
Probable lineup: 3.85
Worst lineup: 3.44
Regressed lineup: 3.75

The Braves offense offers Freddie Freeman, who is a true star, the early prime (note, not young) Jace Peterson and Ender Inciarte, and a bunch of veterans past their prime, among which only Nick Markakis gets on base at a decent rate. The team is in a holding pattern until the minor league prospects are major league ready. Don’t expect a lot from the Braves this year.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

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Previous posts in this series:



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