The 2016 series on team offense continues with the San Francisco Giants. The Giants finished tied for twelfth in the majors and fifth in the National League in 2015 with 4.30 runs scored per game.
Once again I am using a combination of RotoChamp and USA Today as a source of default lineups. There are minor differences between the two projected lineups, and I’m going with RotoChamp since it has Joe Panik batting second, and that’s where he batted lately. That Bruce Bochy lineup is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. For the pitchers, I used the actual results for the 2015 Giants pitchers as hitters. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
Best lineup: 4.75
Probable lineup: 4.53
Worst lineup: 4.26
Regressed lineup: 4.22
The Giants lineup projects to good OBPs among the position players, and the pitchers posted a high OBP for their position in 2015. A lineup with no easy outs is usually a good one. After all, if a team never makes an out, they would score an infinite number of runs.
Matt Duffy is someone to watch in this lineup. The LAT likes him batting ahead of Hunter Pence and Brandon Crawford. His projection, however, should come with a low confidence, since his major league career still represents a small sample size. Batting him lower until he proves his numbers makes sense.
The one change I would make to the lineup is to bat Gregor Blanco ninth. If he does indeed post a .340 OBP, he should not be setting up the pitcher for an out.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.
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Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction
- Toronto Blue Jays
- New York Yankees
- Texas Rangers
- Boston Red Sox
- Colorado Rockies
- Houston Astros
- Kansas City Royals
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- Baltimore Orioles
- Washington Nationals
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