The 2016 series on team offense continues with the Miami Marlins. The Marlins finished twenty ninth in the majors and fourteenth in the National League in 2015 with 3.78 runs scored per game.
Once again I am using a combination of RotoChamp and USA Today as a source of default lineups. The RotoChamp lineup wins here as it appears to more accurately reflect the top of the order used recently in spring training. That Don Mattingly lineup is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. For the pitchers slot, I used the Marlins 2015 pitcher numbers. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
Best lineup: 4.51
Probable lineup: 4.31
Worst lineup: 3.89
Regressed lineup: 4.07
There is a great range of talent among the Marlins position players, as seen in the wide gap between the best and worst lineups. When that is the case, the LAT tends to present a lineup that most managers would not consider. The LAT likes Christian Yelich leading off with Giancarlo Stanton batting second. These two are so much better than any other players on the team at getting on base and hitting for power, that it is important to get them as many plate appearances during the season as possible.
Dee Gordon, however, fits the profile of a lead-off hitter in so many ways. He gets on base okay, he’s fast, he lacks power. He may work better as a ninth hitter with the pitcher batting eighth, however, or as the number three hitter who can keep a rally alive. (See the second and third best lineups.)
I would like the traditional lineup more if they simply moved Marcell Ozuna out of the two hole and shifted the next three or four hitters up one.
The Marlins offense should also be fascinating to see how Barry Bonds and Don Mattingly improve the players. Both know hitting, and if Bonds can teach his pitch judgement and explosiveness at the plate, we might actually see a coach add some runs to the offense. That, and keeping Stanton healthy. Things should be better in Miami this year.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.
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Previous posts in this series:
- Introduction
- Toronto Blue Jays
- New York Yankees
- Texas Rangers
- Boston Red Sox
- Colorado Rockies
- Houston Astros
- Kansas City Royals
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- Baltimore Orioles
- Washington Nationals
- San Francisco Giants
- Minnesota Twins
- Oakland Athletics
- Detroit Tigers
- Chicago Cubs
- New York Mets
- Cleveland Indians
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
- Seattle Mariners
- Milwaukee Brewers
- San Diego Padres
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Cincinnati Reds
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Chicago White Sox
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