Aaron Judge hit his 45th home run of the season Wednesday afternoon as the Yankees defeated the Twins 11-3. He needs five home runs to break Mark McGwire‘s rookie record, and my estimate of the probability of him setting a new record stands at 0.072, or about 7%.
Giancarlo Stanton hit his 56th home run of the season Wednesday afternoon as the Marlins beat the Mets 9-2. There has never been a major league player who finished the season with 55 home runs. Stanton’s probability of reaching 62 home runs stands at 0.05, or about 5%.
Miguel Rojas of the Marlins also homered today, his annual home run. He was one of four players with at least 200 PA this season who had not homered. This is Rojas’s fourth season, and he hit exactly one home run in each of the first three. The Marlins should bench him to keep the streak intact!
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2jKnYSZ
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