Is this the day the races are settled? The Red Sox have a 75% chance of clinching the AL East today, either with a win or a Yankees loss. A Red Sox win would also throw home field in the AL playoffs to the Indians. Lance McCuller takes the hill for Houston against Drew Pomeranz. FIP show McCullers extremely unlucky in 2017, with an ERA of 4.01 and an FIP of 3.14. All three-true outcomes for him are very good. Pomeranz goes for his 17th win of the season, which would also make him 42-42 for his career. He owns a reverse platoon split this season, with lefties posting a .373 OBP against him, righties a .313 mark.
At the same time, the Blue Jays send Marcus Stroman against the Yankees and Jaime Garcia. Stroman is finishing the season strong with a 2.73 ERA in September. The Garcia trade worked out poorly for the Yankees as he is 0-3 in eight starts with a 4.82 ERA.
A Colorado win or a Milwaukee loss nabs the second NL wild card for the Rockies, so they also have a 75% chance of clinching a playoff spot. Milwaukee plays the Cardinals in the afternoon, with Junior Guerra facing Luke Weaver. Guerra has been battered around as a starter this season, allowing 16 home runs in 38 innings. Weaver pitched very well in the role, with 65 K and just 10 walks in 50 2/3 innings.
If the Brewers win, the Rockies send their best out one more time to try to secure their post-season slot. The Dodgers send Clayton Kershaw against German Marquez. The Cy Young race is close between Kershaw and Max Scherzer, and a big win in Colorado in an important game might push Kershaw over the edge. The win would also guarantee the Dodgers home field if they make it to the World Series. Marquez allowed 16 home runs in 79 2/3 innings since the All-Star break after giving up eight HR in 76 1/3 innings before the break.
Enjoy!
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2xNxKsC
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