Thursday, March 15, 2018

Team Offense, Milwaukee Brewers

The 2018 series on team offense continues with the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers finished tied for twentieth in the major leagues and tied for tenth in the National League in 2017 with 4.52 runs scored per game.

I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Craig Counsell order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. For the pitchers slot, I used the actual values produced by the Brewers pitchers in 2017. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):

Best lineup: 4.80
Probable lineup: 4.62
Worst lineup: 4.25
Regressed lineup: 4.35

The default lineup is a very good one. When I looked at the the first time, I thought the LAT would swap Jonathan Villar and the pitcher, and it did, while it does agree with Manny Pina batting seventh. The LAT agrees that Christian Yelich should lead-off and Ryan Braun should clean up, and at time agrees that Travis Shaw and Lorenzo Cain should be between them. The LAT thinks it should be Shaw followed by Cain, however.

The biggest difference is that the LAT really likes Domingo Santana batting second. I like that, too, as Santana is projected to both get on base and hit for power. He would be in the mold of Josh Donaldson and Aaron Judge. That move would be well worth the try. He would also likely get about 30 more PA during the season batting second instead of fifth.

The Brewers are poised to make a big move up offensively this year. They did a nice job of adding good talent at a low price.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

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Previous posts in this series:



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