Yesterday some thoughts about hit streak and the Beat the Streak game led to some research on what percentage of starts do position players get hits. Looking at data from 1969 on (lower mound, division play), the query calculated the percent of time non-pitcher, starting player earned at least one hit in a game. The data shows that 2018 is the second least likely season for a starting batter to get a hit in a game. In 1972, the probability was just 0.63. This season, it’s 0.6356. The big difference between the two was that in 1972, the league averaged 3.69 runs per team game, while in 2018, teams are averaging 4.45 runs per game. This season is a fairly extreme outlier. The regression equation, 23.7 * P(H) – 11.1 has an r-squared of .79. You can see the data here. I suspect there are a lot more walks this season and a lot more home runs. Players have needed to find other ways to score because a lot of players are taking the collar.
from baseballmusings.com https://ift.tt/2OvbZ73
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