The 2016 series on team offense continues with the Houston Astros. The Astros finished sixth in the majors and fifth in the American League in 2015 with 4.50 runs scored per game.
Once again I am using a combination of RotoChamp and USA Today as a source of default lineups. There is a small difference between the lineups. I’m going with USA Today since they have the currently recovering Evan Gattis batting lower in the order. That A.J. Hinch lineup is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):
Best lineup: 4.95
Probable lineup: 4.91
Worst lineup: 3.66
Regressed lineup: 4.49
The Astros pretty much nail the optimum lineup. The lineups agree on 8-9-1-2, which slight shifts from 3 to 7. Basically, everyone is hitting close to their best slot.
So far, the Astros rank second to the Blue Jays in predicted runs per game. On top of that, the lineup remains young, so there’s plenty of room for upside. The project to solid OBPs 1-5, and pretty good power in six of the first seven slots. If Jon Singleton can get his numbers somewhat closer to his minor league levels, the Astros may challenge the Blue Jays for most runs in the league. This is a very good and improving offense.
You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.
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Previous posts in this series:
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