Sunday, August 20, 2017

The Dodgers Surge

Devon Young points out that the Dodgers have now played half a season of games at the .800 level:

MLB standings from May 17 to Aug 19, 2017
Team Wins Losses Win Pct
Dodgers 65 16 0.802
Red Sox 50 34 0.595
Indians 48 35 0.578
Astros 48 35 0.578
Nationals 48 35 0.578
Cubs 46 38 0.548
Marlins 45 38 0.542
Diamondbacks 44 38 0.537
Mariners 45 39 0.536
Royals 45 39 0.536
Angels 42 39 0.519
Rockies 43 40 0.518
Pirates 43 41 0.512
Blue Jays 42 41 0.506
Yankees 43 43 0.500
Twins 43 43 0.500
Rangers 41 41 0.500
Brewers 42 42 0.500
Cardinals 42 44 0.488
Padres 40 42 0.488
Rays 40 43 0.482
Braves 39 46 0.459
Mets 38 45 0.458
Orioles 37 49 0.430
Athletics 36 48 0.429
Tigers 35 50 0.412
Reds 34 52 0.395
Giants 33 51 0.393
Phillies 30 55 0.353
White Sox 29 54 0.349

The Red Sox played great baseball in that same time frame, and they are 16 1/2 games behind the Dodgers.

Here are the Dodgers hitters with at least 40 PA in that time. Austin Barnes? He posted great minor league numbers, but never hit at the MLB level until this season, and now he’s unstoppable. Chris Taylor? Again, great minor league numbers, never hit in the majors until now. Logan Forsythe draws a ton of walks, so we’ll let him get on base and not care about his BA. Bellinger was destroying AAA pitching at a young age, no need to wait to bring him along. The Dodgers did a great job of recognizing talent, and figuring out a way to get that talent to work at the MLB level.

The pitching is great, too. Rich Hill is their worst starter, and he is 8-3 with a 3.67 ERA in that time frame. It seems that everyone on that list with an ERA lower than Hill does not walk batters, and most strike them out at a great rate.

There is a lot going right here, I believe. The front office is good at recognizing talent, and the field staff is good at getting the best out of that talent. Andrew Friedman worked well with Joe Maddon this way, and he and Dave Roberts appear to have the same relationship. On top of that, Friedman now has a lot of money to spend, so he built the depth he could not do in Tampa Bay. Moneyball meets money, and the team blows away the league.



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