Giancarlo Stanton hit his 50th home run of the season and 17th of August, the latter tying the NL record held by Willie Mays and Sammy Sosa. He has four games left in the month to break the NL record, tie the MLB record of 18 by Rudy York, and possibly set a new MLB mark. Stanton went 3 for 3 with a walk in the Marlins 6-2 victory over the Padres, and is now hitting .296/.389/.670 on the season.
My calculations give him a probability of 0.193 of hitting at least 62 home runs, and a probability of 0.000019 of hitting at least 74 homers.
from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2vuoXZ0
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