Wednesday, August 16, 2017

The Future of the Dodgers

Devon Young sends along this:

I love the hype surrounding the Dodgers right now.

Assuming they’ll win at least 111 games (.685%), I got to wondering where they might fit among teams who finished with a .685% since 1900, so I took a look at all the teams who finished with at least a .685% and where they were after 118 decisions (’cause the Dodgers reached that point last night), as well as the rest of their season’s record.

89-29 Yankees 1998 25-19 (won WS)
88-30 Pirates 1902 15-6 (no WS)
87-31 Cubs 1906 29- 5 (lost WS)
87-31 Cubs 1907 20-14? (won WS)?
86-32 Pirates 1909 24-10? (won WS)
86-32 Giants 1904 20-15 ?(no WS)
85-33 Indians 1954 26-10? (lost WS)
85-33 Mariners 2001? 31-13? (didn’t make it to WS)
85-33 A’s 1931 22-12? (lost WS)?
84-34 Yankees 1939 22-11? (won WS)
84-34 Giants 1905 21-14 ?(won WS)
84-34 Dodgers 2017 ??-??
83-35 A’s 1929 21-11? (won WS)
82-36 Yankees 1927 28-8? (won WS)
82-36 Indians 1995 18-8 (lost WS)
82-36 Yankees 1932 25-11? (won WS)?
76-42 Cardinals 1942 30-6 (won WS)

Interestingly,if you look at the links you’ll see a number of those teams were not the best team after the 118 decision mark.

LA’s got an 18.5 game lead in their division. They have a 12.5 lead over Washington for home field. They have no reason to be playing out the season for win total bragging rights once they secure home field. If the Nats keep winning at a .607 pace, they’ll top out at 98 or 99 W’s. Hopefully the Dodgers rest up some players in September. I’d love to see them win it all after winning so many regular season games.

It’s impressive how many of these super teams failed to win the World Series. Short series can be very influenced by luck.



from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2uQGTMY

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