Thursday, September 7, 2017

Massive Tie Scenario

A five way tie for the second wild card is a massive tie scenario I like a lot right now. The top five teams for that slot are very close, and they don’t play each other much. Also, no one in the group plays an opponent on the final weekend of the season, there would not need to be an exact outcome on a single series.

The most wins for this scenario is 92, since the Royals and Twins play each other four times and the Angels and Rangers play three times:

Team Won-lost
Twins 20-3
Angels 20-2
Orioles 21-2
Rangers 22-1
Royals 23-1

Here is a more likely scenario where the Angels play .500, and the wild card finishes the scheduled season with 83 wins:

Team Won-lost
Twins 11-12
Angels 11-11
Orioles 12-11
Rangers 13-10
Royals 24-10

So there are a ton of possibilities for this tie (although overall the probability is pretty low).

For today, the best results would be:

  • The Orioles beat the Yankees.
  • The Royals beat the Twins.


from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2eJFTUL

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