It was another good night for the Wild West massive tie scenario as the Rockies beat the Phillies 10-3 to gain on both the Cardinals and the Dodgers. The Cardinals fall 12-4 to the Brewers, and are on the edge of being eliminated from the NL Central title. The Dodgers lose to the Diamondbacks 4-3 on an Eduardo Escobar walk-off home run.
The Dodgers lead the Rockies by 1/2 game, and the Cardinals by one game. The probability of the three teams ending the season in a tie rises to 0.064, with the most likely number of wins for a tie at 90. The Rockies have a game in hand. To reach 90 wins, the Dodgers need to go 2-2, the Rockies 3-2, and the Cardinals 3-1. For today, the best outcome would be:
- The Cardinals defeat the Brewers.
- The Rockies fall to the Phillies.
- The Dodgers lose to the Diamondbacks.
If the above happens and the Rockies win the game in hand on Thursday, then the three teams go into the final weekend tied, which would give the highest probability of the three-way tie happening.
from baseballmusings.com https://ift.tt/2DycFYd
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