Monday, August 14, 2017

The Guns of August

Giancarlo Stanton homered again, his tenth in August and his fifth game in a row with a home run. The record for home runs in August by an NL player is 17 by Willie Mays (1965) and Sammy Sosa (2001). The AL record is 18 by Rudy York in 1937. The record for the consecutive game home run streak is 8, held by Dale Long, Don Mattingly, and Ken Griffey, Jr.

The probability of Stanton coming to the plate and hitting a home run is 0.064. So in four PA, his chance of hitting at least one home run is 0.23. So in three straight games his probability of hitting at least one in each game would be about 0.013. So he has about a 1 to 2 percent chance of the streak record.

The Giants and Marlins are tied at two in the top of the third inning.



from baseballmusings.com http://ift.tt/2i0FDFj

No comments:

Post a Comment