The Massive Tie Scenarios took a hit Monday night as the leading Rockies and Cardinals won, while the trailing Dodgers and Diamondbacks lost. The probability of a three-way tie for the NL West title now stands at 0.0102, a hair over 1%. The most likely win total for a tie remains at 88.
For the NL Wild Card, the probability of a tie between the Cardinals, Dodgers, and Diamondbacks drops to 0.0085, also with the most likely win total 88. Four was wild for the Cardinals Monday night as they came back twice against the Pirates, scoring four runs in the fourth inning, and four runs in the eighth inning (4*2) to win 8-7.
from baseballmusings.com https://ift.tt/2NBkBeO
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